Kirk Cousins

98% to play

Game: 2026 wk 4
Total: 47.5
Implied team total: 21.5
Depth: #1
Recent snaps: 100%

38 yrs · 6′3″, 209 lb · Michigan State · 2012 rd 4 pk 102

Projections

Market	Projection	Likely range	Fair odds	Evidence
Passing
Passing yards	239.4	114.2 – 329.4	–	Solid
Passing TDs	1.4	0.0 – 2.7	–	Solid
Completions	20.7	12.2 – 29.7	–	Solid
Pass attempts	31.0	18.7 – 44.0	–	Solid
Interceptions	1.0	0.0 – 2.2	–	Solid
Pass + rush yards	244.1	133.0 – 340.4	–	Solid
Longest completion	40.7	20.3 – 58.8	–	Solid
Rushing
Rushing yards	4.7	0.0 – 16.6	–	Differs from form
Rush attempts	2.2	0.0 – 4.4	–	Solid
Longest rush	6.2	0.9 – 13.2	–	Solid
Touchdowns
Anytime TD	5.8%	no range	+1639	Solid
First TD scorer	1.4%	no range	+6878	Solid

Form

Window	GP	Att	Cmp	Pass yd	Pass TD	INT	Car	Rush yd	Sacked	PPR
Last 3	3	30.7	20.7	220.3	3.00	1.00	4.0	-0.7	1.67	18.7
Last 5	5	28.8	18.6	193.4	2.20	0.80	3.2	-0.2	1.80	14.9
Last 10	10	30.9	19.6	213.2	1.90	0.80	2.3	0.1	1.70	14.9
2026 season	3	30.7	20.7	220.3	3.00	1.00	4.0	-0.7	1.67	18.7

Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.

Career by season · totals

Window	GP	Att	Cmp	Pass yd	Pass TD	INT	Car	Rush yd	Sacked	PPR
2026	3	92	62	661	9	3	12	-2	5	56
2025	10	269	166	1,721	10	5	14	7	13	104
2024	14	453	303	3,508	18	16	23	0	28	176
2023	8	311	216	2,331	18	5	14	25	17	150
2022	17	643	424	4,547	29	14	31	97	46	292
2021	16	561	372	4,221	33	7	29	115	28	300
2020	16	516	349	4,265	35	13	32	156	39	306
2019	15	444	307	3,603	26	6	31	63	28	244
2018	16	606	425	4,298	30	10	44	123	40	283
2017	16	540	347	4,093	27	13	49	179	–	278
2016	16	606	406	4,917	25	12	34	96	–	300
2015	16	543	379	4,166	29	11	26	48	–	293
2014	6	204	126	1,710	10	9	7	20	–	88
2013	5	155	81	854	4	7	4	14	–	34
2012	3	48	33	466	4	3	3	22	–	33

Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.

Injury history

2 injury entries across 2 seasons · most often foot

2013Foot

2012Illness

Model track record

out-of-sample, 2019 onwards

Market	Graded	In band	Avg miss	vs form
Passing yards	99	77%	64.7	+5.6
Passing TDs	99	89%	0.9	+0.1
Completions	99	80%	5.5	+0.2
Rushing yards	99	74%	7.9	-0.8
Pass attempts	99	81%	7.1	+0.4
Interceptions	99	90%	0.7	+0.1
Pass + rush yards	99	80%	65.3	+3.6
Rush attempts	99	91%	1.3	+0.1
Anytime TD	99	10% vs 7%	0.2	-0.0
First TD scorer	99	2% vs 2%	0.0	+0.0
Longest completion	99	81%	11.2	+1.0
Longest rush	63	76%	4.9	+0.1

Out-of-sample: each prediction came from a model trained only on earlier seasons. In band should sit near 80% where a band exists — that is the calibration claim, checkable here. It is tinted only when it strays further than sampling noise explains, which for one player is roughly ±7 points. vs form is how much closer the model landed than guessing his recent average. This grades the model against RESULTS, not against a betting line.

Last 10 games

Game	Opp	Snap%	Car	RushYd	PassYd	TD
2026 wk 3	NO	100%	3	3	248	3
2026 wk 2	LAC	100%	4	1	253	3
2026 wk 1	MIA	100%	5	-6	160	3
2025 wk 18	NO	100%	3	0	180	1
2025 wk 17	LA	100%	1	1	126	1
2025 wk 16	ARI	100%	5	-3	197	3
2025 wk 15	TB	100%	0	0	373	3
2025 wk 14	SEA	100%	0	0	162	0
2025 wk 13	NYJ	100%	0	0	234	1
2025 wk 12	NO	100%	2	5	199	2