Stefon Diggs
WR
- Game
- 2026 wk 4
- Total
- 47.5
- Implied team total
- 22.0
- Depth
- #2
- Recent snaps
- 57%
32 yrs · 6′0″, 191 lb · Maryland · 2015 rd 5 pk 146
Projections
| Market | Projection | Likely range | Fair odds | Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing | ||||
| Longest rush | 5.9 | 0.0 – 16.3 | – | Little to go on |
| Receiving | ||||
| Receiving yards | 38.2 | 9.3 – 81.8 | – | Solid |
| Receptions | 3.7 | 1.0 – 6.6 | – | Solid |
| Longest reception | 17.6 | 7.3 – 34.7 | – | Solid |
| Rush + rec yards | 42.0 | 7.0 – 90.8 | – | Solid |
| Touchdowns | ||||
| Anytime TD | 18.3% | no range | +446 | Solid |
| First TD scorer | 3.3% | no range | +2949 | Solid |
Form
| Window | GP | Tgt | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD | Tgt share | WOPR | RZ tgt | Snap% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 3 | 3 | 7.3 | 4.3 | 45.0 | 1.00 | 24% | 0.50 | 2.00 | 58% | 14.8 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 6.2 | 4.2 | 37.8 | 0.60 | 22% | 0.43 | 2.00 | 57% | 11.6 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 6.1 | 4.5 | 52.7 | 0.50 | 21% | 0.43 | 1.50 | 56% | 12.8 |
| 2026 season | 3 | 7.3 | 4.3 | 45.0 | 1.00 | 24% | 0.50 | 2.00 | 58% | 14.8 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Career by season · totals
| Window | GP | Tgt | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD | Tgt share | WOPR | RZ tgt | Snap% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 3 | 22 | 13 | 135 | 3 | 24% | 1 | 4 | 58% | 45 |
| 2025 | 17 | 102 | 85 | 1,013 | 4 | 22% | 8 | 12 | 54% | 210 |
| 2024 | 8 | 64 | 47 | 496 | 3 | 24% | 4 | 5 | 78% | 122 |
| 2023 | 17 | 160 | 107 | 1,183 | 8 | 30% | 11 | 17 | 81% | 274 |
| 2022 | 16 | 154 | 108 | 1,429 | 11 | 27% | 10 | 24 | 77% | 317 |
| 2021 | 17 | 164 | 103 | 1,225 | 10 | 27% | 11 | 34 | 81% | 286 |
| 2020 | 16 | 166 | 127 | 1,535 | 8 | 30% | 11 | 16 | 88% | 329 |
| 2019 | 15 | 94 | 63 | 1,130 | 6 | 22% | 9 | 6 | 80% | 214 |
| 2018 | 15 | 149 | 102 | 1,021 | 9 | 26% | 9 | 19 | 87% | 266 |
| 2017 | 14 | 95 | 64 | 849 | 8 | 21% | 7 | 14 | 80% | 198 |
| 2016 | 13 | 112 | 84 | 903 | 3 | 24% | 7 | 12 | 81% | 193 |
| 2015 | 13 | 84 | 52 | 720 | 4 | 22% | 7 | 8 | 78% | 149 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Injury history
10 injury entries across 7 seasons · 4 weeks ruled out or doubtful · most often groin
Model track record
out-of-sample, 2019 onwards| Market | Graded | In band | Avg miss | vs form |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receptions | 121 | 79% | 2.3 | -0.3 |
| Receiving yards | 121 | 69% | 34.4 | -1.1 |
| Rush + rec yards | 121 | 73% | 33.8 | -0.8 |
| Anytime TD | 121 | 37% vs 37% | 0.5 | +0.0 |
| Longest reception | 121 | 74% | 12.0 | +0.6 |
| First TD scorer | 121 | 8% vs 3% | 0.1 | -0.0 |
| Longest rush | 12 | 75% | 5.6 | +1.2 |
Out-of-sample: each prediction came from a model trained only on earlier seasons. In band should sit near 80% where a band exists — that is the calibration claim, checkable here. It is tinted only when it strays further than sampling noise explains, which for one player is roughly ±7 points. vs form is how much closer the model landed than guessing his recent average. This grades the model against RESULTS, not against a betting line.
Last 10 games
| Game | Opp | Snap% | Tgt | Rec | RecYd | Car | RushYd | PassYd | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 wk 3 |  SEA | 59% | 7 | 4 | 33 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026 wk 2 |  DAL | 51% | 6 | 5 | 47 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 2026 wk 1 |  PHI | 63% | 9 | 4 | 55 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2025 wk 22 | SEA | 63% | 3 | 3 | 37 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 21 |  DEN | 47% | 6 | 5 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 20 |  HOU | 55% | 6 | 4 | 40 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2025 wk 19 |  LAC | 62% | 5 | 2 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 18 |  MIA | 46% | 3 | 3 | 43 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 17 |  NYJ | 52% | 6 | 6 | 101 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2025 wk 16 |  BAL | 59% | 10 | 9 | 138 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |