Ameer Abdullah
RB
- Game
- 2026 wk 4
- Total
- 51.5
- Implied team total
- 24.5
- Depth
- #1
- Recent snaps
- 10%
33 yrs · 5′9″, 203 lb · Nebraska · 2015 rd 2 pk 54
Projections
| Market | Projection | Likely range | Fair odds | Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing | ||||
| Rushing yards | 13.6 | 0.0 – 42.5 | – | Solid |
| Rush attempts | 2.7 | 0.0 – 7.1 | – | Solid |
| Longest rush | 10.6 | 1.1 – 17.9 | – | Solid |
| Receiving | ||||
| Receiving yards | 4.8 | 0.0 – 10.8 | – | Solid |
| Receptions | 1.0 | 0.0 – 2.2 | – | Solid |
| Longest reception | 9.8 | 1.6 – 24.7 | – | Solid |
| Rush + rec yards | 18.4 | 0.0 – 46.2 | – | Solid |
| Touchdowns | ||||
| Anytime TD | 6.6% | no range | +1426 | Solid |
| First TD scorer | 0.9% | no range | +10438 | Solid |
Form
| Window | GP | Car | Rush yd | Rush TD | Tgt | Rec | Rec yd | RZ tch | Snap% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 3 | 3 | 3.3 | 15.0 | 0.00 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 1.00 | 10% | 2.2 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 2.2 | 9.2 | 0.00 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 1.00 | 10% | 2.5 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 1.6 | 6.5 | 0.00 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 7.1 | 1.00 | 12% | 2.7 |
| 2026 season | 3 | 3.3 | 15.0 | 0.00 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 1.00 | 10% | 2.2 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Career by season · totals
| Window | GP | Car | Rush yd | Rush TD | Tgt | Rec | Rec yd | RZ tch | Snap% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 3 | 10 | 45 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10% | 7 |
| 2025 | 13 | 14 | 60 | 1 | 17 | 16 | 99 | 4 | 11% | 38 |
| 2024 | 15 | 66 | 311 | 2 | 47 | 40 | 261 | 19 | 38% | 125 |
| 2023 | 16 | 15 | 89 | 0 | 24 | 19 | 131 | 3 | 21% | 41 |
| 2022 | 16 | 4 | 20 | 0 | 32 | 25 | 211 | 8 | 16% | 54 |
| 2021 | 17 | 51 | 166 | 0 | 53 | 38 | 289 | 14 | 28% | 90 |
| 2020 | 11 | 8 | 42 | 0 | 9 | 8 | 58 | 4 | 8% | 30 |
| 2019 | 15 | 23 | 115 | 0 | 21 | 15 | 88 | 5 | 15% | 41 |
| 2018 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 28 | 1 | 3% | 6 |
| 2017 | 14 | 165 | 552 | 4 | 35 | 25 | 162 | 29 | 41% | 124 |
| 2016 | 2 | 18 | 101 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 57 | 3 | 42% | 27 |
| 2015 | 16 | 143 | 597 | 2 | 38 | 25 | 183 | 18 | 33% | 117 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Injury history
4 injury entries across 3 seasons · 1 week ruled out or doubtful · most often neck
Model track record
out-of-sample, 2019 onwards| Market | Graded | In band | Avg miss | vs form |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing yards | 105 | 95% | 10.3 | -0.7 |
| Receptions | 105 | 89% | 1.2 | +0.1 |
| Receiving yards | 105 | 91% | 9.2 | +1.0 |
| Rush attempts | 105 | 95% | 2.0 | -0.1 |
| Rush + rec yards | 105 | 88% | 16.1 | +1.8 |
| Anytime TD | 105 | 11% vs 10% | 0.2 | -0.0 |
| First TD scorer | 95 | 3% vs 1% | 0.0 | -0.0 |
| Longest reception | 71 | 87% | 4.7 | +0.6 |
| Longest rush | 56 | 93% | 4.5 | +1.3 |
Out-of-sample: each prediction came from a model trained only on earlier seasons. In band should sit near 80% where a band exists — that is the calibration claim, checkable here. It is tinted only when it strays further than sampling noise explains, which for one player is roughly ±7 points. vs form is how much closer the model landed than guessing his recent average. This grades the model against RESULTS, not against a betting line.
Last 10 games
| Game | Opp | Snap% | Tgt | Rec | RecYd | Car | RushYd | PassYd | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 wk 3 |  NE | 11% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026 wk 2 |  DEN | 10% | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026 wk 1 |  CLE | 9% | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 18 |  HOU | 12% | 2 | 2 | 24 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 17 |  JAX | 9% | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 16 |  SF | 7% | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 15 |  SEA | 23% | 5 | 5 | 32 | 4 | 15 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 14 | JAX | 24% | 2 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 13 | HOU | 2% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 12 |  KC | 8% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |