Laquon Treadwell
WR
- Game
- 2026 wk 4
- Total
- 47.5
- Implied team total
- 25.5
- Depth
- #4
- Recent snaps
- 42%
31 yrs · 6′2″, 215 lb · Mississippi · 2016 rd 1 pk 23
Projections
| Market | Projection | Likely range | Fair odds | Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing | ||||
| Longest rush | 7.7 | 0.0 – 18.8 | – | Little to go on |
| Receiving | ||||
| Receiving yards | 14.0 | 0.0 – 36.7 | – | Solid |
| Receptions | 1.4 | 0.0 – 2.6 | – | Solid |
| Longest reception | 17.2 | 4.4 – 31.9 | – | Differs from form |
| Rush + rec yards | 11.5 | 0.0 – 36.5 | – | Solid |
| Touchdowns | ||||
| Anytime TD | 7.3% | no range | +1278 | Solid |
| First TD scorer | 1.0% | no range | +10404 | Solid |
Form
| Window | GP | Tgt | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD | Tgt share | WOPR | RZ tgt | Snap% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 3 | 3 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 27.0 | 0.00 | 5% | 0.18 | – | 63% | 4.0 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 16.2 | 0.00 | 3% | 0.11 | – | 42% | 2.4 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 9.7 | 0.00 | 3% | 0.09 | – | 30% | 1.5 |
| 2026 season | 3 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 27.0 | 0.00 | 5% | 0.18 | – | 63% | 4.0 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Career by season · totals
| Window | GP | Tgt | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD | Tgt share | WOPR | RZ tgt | Snap% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 81 | 0 | 5% | 1 | – | 63% | 12 |
| 2025 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | – | 6% | 0 |
| 2023 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 0 | 4% | 0 | – | 35% | 3 |
| 2022 | 3 | 10 | 6 | 42 | 0 | 9% | 1 | 2 | 56% | 10 |
| 2021 | 12 | 51 | 33 | 434 | 1 | 13% | 4 | 6 | 65% | 82 |
| 2020 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 49 | 2 | 5% | 0 | 3 | 22% | 23 |
| 2019 | 10 | 16 | 9 | 184 | 1 | 5% | 1 | – | 25% | 33 |
| 2018 | 15 | 53 | 35 | 302 | 1 | 9% | 3 | 4 | 55% | 71 |
| 2017 | 13 | 35 | 20 | 200 | 0 | 8% | 3 | 1 | 46% | 40 |
| 2016 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 0 | 2% | 0 | 1 | 11% | 3 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Injury history
3 injury entries across 1 season · 3 weeks ruled out or doubtful · most often ankle
Model track record
out-of-sample, 2019 onwards| Market | Graded | In band | Avg miss | vs form |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receptions | 38 | 87% | 1.1 | +0.1 |
| Receiving yards | 38 | 84% | 17.4 | +1.0 |
| Rush + rec yards | 38 | 84% | 16.5 | +1.8 |
| Anytime TD | 38 | 11% vs 11% | 0.2 | -0.0 |
| First TD scorer | 33 | 3% vs 3% | 0.1 | -0.0 |
| Longest reception | 23 | 74% | 9.5 | +2.7 |
Out-of-sample: each prediction came from a model trained only on earlier seasons. In band should sit near 80% where a band exists — that is the calibration claim, checkable here. It is tinted only when it strays further than sampling noise explains, which for one player is roughly ±7 points. vs form is how much closer the model landed than guessing his recent average. This grades the model against RESULTS, not against a betting line.
Last 10 games
| Game | Opp | Snap% | Tgt | Rec | RecYd | Car | RushYd | PassYd | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 wk 3 |  HOU | 79% | 1 | 1 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026 wk 2 |  KC | 74% | 3 | 3 | 61 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026 wk 1 |  BAL | 35% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 17 |  JAX | 2% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 14 | JAX | 20% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 13 | HOU | 13% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 12 | KC | 2% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 10 |  ATL | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 7 |  LAC | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2023 wk 18 |  PIT | 75% | 3 | 1 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |