NFL Analytics Dashboard2026 · Week 4
Oct 1, 7:05 PM EDT
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Tyreek Hill

WR

32 yrs · 5′10″, 191 lb · West Alabama; Garden City CC; Oklahoma State · 2016 rd 5 pk 165

Projections

FANot on an NFL roster

Tyreek Hill is not on an NFL roster. No projections are published for him, and none of the markets below can be priced until he signs somewhere.

The splits and history below are unchanged — they are a record of games already played, and stay accurate whatever happens this week.

Form

WindowGPTgtRecRec ydRec TDTgt shareWOPRRZ tgtSnap%PPR
Last 337.75.775.00.3325%0.732.0071%15.2
Last 556.44.657.00.2021%0.591.5063%11.5
Last 10107.85.365.30.4023%0.661.2976%14.3

Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.

Career by season · totals

WindowGPTgtRecRec ydRec TDTgt shareWOPRRZ tgtSnap%PPR
202542921265124%3269%53
20241712281959622%102080%218
2023161711191,7991333%132667%376
2022171701191,710730%121176%341
2021171591111,239925%102574%296
202015135871,2761523%91986%329
2019128958860721%7772%188
201816137871,4791224%101687%334
201715105751,183722%9481%245
2016168361593616%61541%219

Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.

Injury history

9 injury entries across 8 seasons · 6 weeks ruled out or doubtful · most often shoulder

2024Wrist×4Foot
2023Ankle×2
2022Quadricep
2021Quadricep×2
2020Hamstring×2
2019Shoulder×5
2018Heel
2017Not Injury Related

Model track record

out-of-sample, 2019 onwards
MarketGradedIn bandAvg missvs form
Receptions10974%2.5+0.0
Receiving yards10966%38.8+4.7
Rush + rec yards10970%38.3+4.6
Anytime TD10936% vs 49%0.5-0.0
First TD scorer1099% vs 12%0.2+0.0
Longest reception10876%13.3+1.9
Longest rush4783%6.0+1.9

Out-of-sample: each prediction came from a model trained only on earlier seasons. In band should sit near 80% where a band exists — that is the calibration claim, checkable here. It is tinted only when it strays further than sampling noise explains, which for one player is roughly ±7 points. vs form is how much closer the model landed than guessing his recent average. This grades the model against RESULTS, not against a betting line.

Last 10 games

GameOppSnap%TgtRecRecYdCarRushYdPassYdTD
2025 wk 4NYJ41%66670000
2025 wk 3BUF87%105490001
2025 wk 2NE84%761090000
2025 wk 1IND62%64400000
2024 wk 18NYJ39%32200000
2024 wk 17CLE88%991050000
2024 wk 16SF84%73290001
2024 wk 15HOU93%72360000
2024 wk 14NYJ97%14101151601
2024 wk 13GB80%96830001