NFL Analytics Dashboard2026 · Week 4
Oct 1, 7:05 PM EDT
Slate

Kendrick Bourne

WR
95% to play
Game
2026 wk 4
Total
44.5
Implied team total
23.5
Depth
#3
Recent snaps
55%

31 yrs · 6′1″, 203 lb · Eastern Washington

Projections

MarketProjectionLikely rangeFair oddsEvidence
Rushing
Longest rush5.80.0 – 14.5–Little to go on
Receiving
Receiving yards22.90.0 – 55.8–Solid
Receptions2.30.0 – 4.6–Solid
Longest reception17.64.1 – 32.1–Solid
Rush + rec yards19.50.0 – 60.6–Solid
Touchdowns
Anytime TD9.6%no range+937Solid
First TD scorer4.2%no range+2275Solid

Form

WindowGPTgtRecRec ydRec TDTgt shareWOPRRZ tgtSnap%PPR
Last 334.74.036.00.0013%0.251.0061%7.6
Last 553.42.421.60.0010%0.211.0055%4.6
Last 10102.81.919.60.009%0.201.0052%3.9
2026 season34.74.036.00.0013%0.251.0061%7.6

Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.

Career by season · totals

WindowGPTgtRecRec ydRec TDTgt shareWOPRRZ tgtSnap%PPR
202631412108013%1261%23
2025145337551011%4262%92
2024123828305110%3258%65
202385537406420%4673%100
2022164835434110%4544%88
2021177055800513%5752%181
2020157449667214%51266%130
201916443035859%4844%98
2018166742487413%51257%115
2017103416257010%2840%42

Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.

Injury history

3 injury entries across 3 seasons · most often knee

2024Knee×2
2022Toe
2021Shoulder

Model track record

out-of-sample, 2019 onwards
MarketGradedIn bandAvg missvs form
Receptions10387%1.4+0.2
Receiving yards10383%20.4+3.9
Rush + rec yards10384%21.4+3.8
Anytime TD10317% vs 17%0.3+0.0
First TD scorer1034% vs 5%0.1+0.0
Longest reception9483%8.2+1.5
Longest rush1776%6.8+1.9

Out-of-sample: each prediction came from a model trained only on earlier seasons. In band should sit near 80% where a band exists — that is the calibration claim, checkable here. It is tinted only when it strays further than sampling noise explains, which for one player is roughly ±7 points. vs form is how much closer the model landed than guessing his recent average. This grades the model against RESULTS, not against a betting line.

Last 10 games

GameOppSnap%TgtRecRecYdCarRushYdPassYdTD
2026 wk 3SF55%32220000
2026 wk 2SEA60%32110000
2026 wk 1LAC67%88750000
2025 wk 20SEA40%2000000
2025 wk 18SEA52%1000000
2025 wk 17CHI26%11250000
2025 wk 16IND70%53270000
2025 wk 15TEN45%32170000
2025 wk 13CLE34%1000000
2025 wk 10LA68%11190000