Tim Patrick
WR
32 yrs · 6′5″, 210 lb · Utah; Grossmont
Projections
Tim Patrick is listed IR and cannot play this week. No projections are published for him — a prop that voids is not a bet, and a number here would read as one.
The splits and history below are unchanged — they are a record of games already played, and stay accurate whatever happens this week.
Form
| Window | GP | Tgt | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD | Tgt share | WOPR | RZ tgt | Snap% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 3 | 3 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 1.3 | 0.00 | 3% | 0.07 | 1.00 | 27% | 0.5 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 2.0 | 1.4 | 18.6 | 0.20 | 6% | 0.14 | 2.50 | 34% | 4.5 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 2.1 | 1.3 | 17.2 | 0.30 | 7% | 0.17 | 2.00 | 33% | 4.8 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Career by season · totals
| Window | GP | Tgt | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD | Tgt share | WOPR | RZ tgt | Snap% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 13 | 24 | 15 | 187 | 3 | 6% | 2 | 9 | 30% | 52 |
| 2024 | 15 | 44 | 33 | 394 | 3 | 9% | 4 | 9 | 60% | 92 |
| 2021 | 16 | 85 | 53 | 734 | 5 | 18% | 7 | 11 | 84% | 156 |
| 2020 | 15 | 79 | 51 | 742 | 6 | 17% | 6 | 11 | 75% | 161 |
| 2019 | 8 | 31 | 16 | 218 | 0 | 12% | 2 | 5 | 57% | 38 |
| 2018 | 12 | 41 | 23 | 315 | 1 | 9% | 3 | 1 | 43% | 60 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Injury history
5 injury entries across 5 seasons · 2 weeks ruled out or doubtful · most often groin
Model track record
out-of-sample, 2019 onwards| Market | Graded | In band | Avg miss | vs form |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receptions | 69 | 88% | 1.3 | +0.1 |
| Receiving yards | 69 | 78% | 22.6 | +1.2 |
| Rush + rec yards | 69 | 77% | 21.4 | +2.3 |
| Anytime TD | 69 | 20% vs 22% | 0.3 | -0.0 |
| First TD scorer | 69 | 4% vs 3% | 0.1 | -0.0 |
| Longest reception | 58 | 79% | 9.8 | +1.0 |
Out-of-sample: each prediction came from a model trained only on earlier seasons. In band should sit near 80% where a band exists — that is the calibration claim, checkable here. It is tinted only when it strays further than sampling noise explains, which for one player is roughly ±7 points. vs form is how much closer the model landed than guessing his recent average. This grades the model against RESULTS, not against a betting line.
Last 10 games
| Game | Opp | Snap% | Tgt | Rec | RecYd | Car | RushYd | PassYd | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 wk 19 |  BUF | 27% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 18 |  TEN | 36% | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 17 |  IND | 17% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 16 |  DEN | 26% | 1 | 1 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 14 | IND | 66% | 6 | 5 | 78 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2025 wk 13 | TEN | 11% | 1 | 1 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 12 |  ARI | 47% | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 11 |  LAC | 58% | 4 | 3 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2025 wk 7 |  LA | 19% | 1 | 1 | 22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 6 |  SEA | 18% | 1 | 1 | 26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |