NFL Analytics Dashboard2026 · Week 4
Oct 1, 7:05 PM EDT
Slate

Samaje Perine

RB
93% to play
Game
2026 wk 4
Total
51.5
Implied team total
27.0
Depth
#2
Recent snaps
36%

31 yrs · 5′10″, 240 lb · Oklahoma · 2017 rd 4 pk 114

Projections

MarketProjectionLikely rangeFair oddsEvidence
Rushing
Rushing yards16.80.0 – 42.5–Solid
Rush attempts3.61.0 – 8.3–Solid
Longest rush7.91.8 – 16.7–Solid
Receiving
Receiving yards9.80.0 – 26.6–Solid
Receptions1.70.0 – 3.6–Solid
Longest reception10.51.6 – 25.4–Solid
Rush + rec yards26.62.7 – 62.7–Solid
Touchdowns
Anytime TD17.2%no range+482Solid
First TD scorer2.4%no range+4029Solid

Form

WindowGPCarRush ydRush TDTgtRecRec ydRZ tchSnap%PPR
Last 333.311.70.002.31.717.01.0033%4.5
Last 554.216.40.202.41.813.81.7536%6.0
Last 10106.322.40.201.91.510.82.1434%5.8
2026 season33.311.70.002.31.717.01.0033%4.5

Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.

Career by season · totals

WindowGPCarRush ydRush TDTgtRecRec ydRZ tchSnap%PPR
20263103507551233%14
2025158438232117871735%78
202417209213528322526%81
20231753238156504551534%121
20221695394251382872640%142
2021155524613127196728%83
2020126330131211662027%66
201945160000–3%2
201848320435112%7
201713175603124221822544%109

Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.

Injury history

6 injury entries across 4 seasons · 3 weeks ruled out or doubtful · most often ankle

2025Ankle×2
2023Knee
2018CalfKnee
2017FingerGroin

Model track record

out-of-sample, 2019 onwards
MarketGradedIn bandAvg missvs form
Rushing yards10679%16.4-0.5
Receptions10692%1.0+0.1
Receiving yards10691%10.0+0.6
Rush attempts10687%2.9+0.0
Rush + rec yards10686%21.9+0.8
Anytime TD10616% vs 15%0.3-0.0
First TD scorer1034% vs 5%0.1+0.0
Longest reception8485%5.6+0.4
Longest rush8381%5.7+0.4

Out-of-sample: each prediction came from a model trained only on earlier seasons. In band should sit near 80% where a band exists — that is the calibration claim, checkable here. It is tinted only when it strays further than sampling noise explains, which for one player is roughly ±7 points. vs form is how much closer the model landed than guessing his recent average. This grades the model against RESULTS, not against a betting line.

Last 10 games

GameOppSnap%TgtRecRecYdCarRushYdPassYdTD
2026 wk 3PIT32%3153900
2026 wk 2HOU40%11162600
2026 wk 1TB28%333052000
2025 wk 18CLE49%431084200
2025 wk 17ARI31%1183501
2025 wk 16MIA39%321672501
2025 wk 15BAL45%111144200
2025 wk 14BUF37%11763100
2025 wk 13BAL40%2215143900
2025 wk 9CHI1%0001500