NFL Analytics Dashboard2026 · Week 4
Oct 1, 7:05 PM EDT
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James Conner

RB

31 yrs · 6′1″, 233 lb · Pittsburgh · 2017 rd 3 pk 105

Projections

IRListed IR

James Conner is listed IR and cannot play this week. No projections are published for him — a prop that voids is not a bet, and a number here would read as one.

The splits and history below are unchanged — they are a record of games already played, and stay accurate whatever happens this week.

Form

WindowGPCarRush ydRush TDTgtRecRec ydRZ tchSnap%PPR
Last 3310.731.70.333.02.712.73.0050%11.1
Last 5510.243.20.403.22.818.22.7542%12.5
Last 101012.152.50.503.93.628.53.6354%15.9

Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.

Career by season · totals

WindowGPCarRush ydRush TDTgtRecRec ydRZ tchSnap%PPR
20253329519838650%33
2024162361,094855474145961%254
2023132081,040733271654462%202
202213183782758463002972%200
2021152027521539373754458%258
202013169721643352153462%165
201910116464438342511953%145
2018132159731271554974377%280
20171232144010048%14

Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.

Injury history

12 injury entries across 7 seasons · 11 weeks ruled out or doubtful · most often ankle

2024Knee
2023Knee
2022Ribs×4AnkleKnee
2021Heel×3AnkleRibs
2020Quadricep
2019Shoulder×6Quadricep
2018Ankle×4

Model track record

out-of-sample, 2019 onwards
MarketGradedIn bandAvg missvs form
Rushing yards8580%28.1+0.3
Receptions8580%1.6+0.1
Receiving yards8585%15.3+1.6
Rush attempts8582%4.4+0.3
Rush + rec yards8579%32.2+3.3
Anytime TD8543% vs 58%0.5-0.0
First TD scorer8511% vs 13%0.2+0.0
Longest rush8587%7.3+0.3
Longest reception7485%6.4+0.7

Out-of-sample: each prediction came from a model trained only on earlier seasons. In band should sit near 80% where a band exists — that is the calibration claim, checkable here. It is tinted only when it strays further than sampling noise explains, which for one player is roughly ±7 points. vs form is how much closer the model landed than guessing his recent average. This grades the model against RESULTS, not against a betting line.

Last 10 games

GameOppSnap%TgtRecRecYdCarRushYdPassYdTD
2025 wk 3SF30%431592200
2025 wk 2CAR55%1118113401
2025 wk 1NO65%445123901
2024 wk 17LA15%3244400
2024 wk 16CAR44%44491511701
2024 wk 15NE71%55281611002
2024 wk 14SEA77%4432189001
2024 wk 13MIN59%4313176800
2024 wk 12SEA69%55417800
2024 wk 10NYJ54%5580123301