David Moore
WR
- Game
- 2026 wk 4
- Total
- 51.5
- Implied team total
- 24.0
- Depth
- #1
- Recent snaps
- 36%
31 yrs · 6′0″, 220 lb · East Central · 2017 rd 7 pk 226
Projections
| Market | Projection | Likely range | Fair odds | Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing | ||||
| Longest rush | 6.5 | 0.0 – 17.7 | – | Solid |
| Receiving | ||||
| Receiving yards | 15.2 | 0.0 – 29.9 | – | Solid |
| Receptions | 1.6 | 0.0 – 3.1 | – | Solid |
| Longest reception | 18.6 | 4.5 – 33.5 | – | Solid |
| Rush + rec yards | 16.4 | 0.0 – 36.0 | – | Solid |
| Touchdowns | ||||
| Anytime TD | 8.3% | no range | +1099 | Solid |
| First TD scorer | 2.3% | no range | +4223 | Solid |
Form
| Window | GP | Tgt | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD | Tgt share | WOPR | RZ tgt | Snap% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 3 | 3 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 1.7 | 0.00 | 3% | 0.08 | – | 35% | 0.9 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 2.8 | 0.20 | 3% | 0.10 | 1.00 | 36% | 2.1 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 2.8 | 1.4 | 15.4 | 0.20 | 9% | 0.21 | 1.00 | 54% | 4.3 |
| 2026 season | 1 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 5% | 0.16 | – | 6% | 0.0 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Career by season · totals
| Window | GP | Tgt | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD | Tgt share | WOPR | RZ tgt | Snap% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5% | 0 | – | 6% | 0 |
| 2025 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 1% | 0 | – | 39% | 3 |
| 2024 | 15 | 57 | 32 | 351 | 3 | 12% | 4 | 11 | 59% | 85 |
| 2023 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 94 | 1 | 4% | 0 | 1 | 25% | 20 |
| 2021 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3% | 0 | – | 4% | 0 |
| 2020 | 16 | 47 | 35 | 417 | 6 | 9% | 3 | 13 | 45% | 119 |
| 2019 | 14 | 34 | 17 | 301 | 2 | 8% | 3 | 8 | 32% | 60 |
| 2018 | 14 | 53 | 26 | 445 | 5 | 16% | 6 | 9 | 61% | 101 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Injury history
5 injury entries across 4 seasons · 2 weeks ruled out or doubtful · most often elbow
Model track record
out-of-sample, 2019 onwards| Market | Graded | In band | Avg miss | vs form |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receptions | 61 | 95% | 1.0 | +0.0 |
| Receiving yards | 61 | 87% | 18.1 | +0.8 |
| Rush + rec yards | 61 | 87% | 19.1 | +0.2 |
| Anytime TD | 61 | 14% vs 21% | 0.3 | +0.1 |
| First TD scorer | 60 | 3% vs 3% | 0.1 | +0.0 |
| Longest reception | 49 | 73% | 10.8 | +2.4 |
| Longest rush | 14 | 93% | 5.3 | +1.9 |
Out-of-sample: each prediction came from a model trained only on earlier seasons. In band should sit near 80% where a band exists — that is the calibration claim, checkable here. It is tinted only when it strays further than sampling noise explains, which for one player is roughly ±7 points. vs form is how much closer the model landed than guessing his recent average. This grades the model against RESULTS, not against a betting line.
Last 10 games
| Game | Opp | Snap% | Tgt | Rec | RecYd | Car | RushYd | PassYd | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 wk 3 |  CLE | 6% | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 4 |  NE | 1% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 3 |  ATL | 97% | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 1 |  JAX | 19% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2024 wk 18 | ATL | 57% | 3 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2024 wk 17 |  TB | 32% | 1 | 1 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2024 wk 16 |  ARI | 90% | 3 | 2 | 39 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2024 wk 15 |  DAL | 58% | 4 | 2 | 19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2024 wk 14 |  PHI | 87% | 5 | 2 | 25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2024 wk 13 | TB | 90% | 9 | 5 | 40 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |