Austin Ekeler
RB
- Game
- 2026 wk 4
- Total
- 47.5
- Implied team total
- 22.0
- Depth
- #2
- Recent snaps
- 48%
31 yrs · 5′10″, 200 lb · Western State
Projections
| Market | Projection | Likely range | Fair odds | Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing | ||||
| Rushing yards | 17.9 | 0.0 – 52.3 | – | Solid |
| Rush attempts | 3.7 | 0.0 – 10.5 | – | Solid |
| Longest rush | 8.5 | 2.0 – 17.5 | – | Solid |
| Receiving | ||||
| Receiving yards | 16.5 | 0.0 – 44.0 | – | Solid |
| Receptions | 2.4 | 0.0 – 4.9 | – | Solid |
| Longest reception | 12.1 | 3.0 – 25.0 | – | Solid |
| Rush + rec yards | 34.4 | 5.9 – 78.4 | – | Solid |
| Touchdowns | ||||
| Anytime TD | 16.9% | no range | +493 | Solid |
| First TD scorer | 2.9% | no range | +3342 | Solid |
Form
| Window | GP | Car | Rush yd | Rush TD | Tgt | Rec | Rec yd | RZ tch | Snap% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 3 | 3 | 7.3 | 19.3 | 0.00 | 4.7 | 3.3 | 18.3 | 1.50 | 53% | 6.4 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 7.2 | 26.4 | 0.00 | 4.4 | 3.4 | 24.4 | 2.00 | 48% | 8.1 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 7.4 | 25.9 | 0.30 | 4.2 | 3.3 | 28.1 | 2.83 | 53% | 10.3 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Career by season · totals
| Window | GP | Car | Rush yd | Rush TD | Tgt | Rec | Rec yd | RZ tch | Snap% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2 | 14 | 43 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 38 | 2 | 50% | 13 |
| 2024 | 12 | 77 | 367 | 4 | 41 | 35 | 366 | 23 | 53% | 132 |
| 2023 | 14 | 179 | 628 | 5 | 74 | 51 | 436 | 39 | 66% | 185 |
| 2022 | 17 | 204 | 915 | 13 | 127 | 107 | 722 | 76 | 62% | 373 |
| 2021 | 16 | 206 | 911 | 12 | 94 | 70 | 647 | 67 | 65% | 344 |
| 2020 | 10 | 116 | 530 | 1 | 65 | 54 | 403 | 28 | 57% | 165 |
| 2019 | 16 | 132 | 557 | 3 | 108 | 92 | 993 | 30 | 57% | 309 |
| 2018 | 14 | 106 | 554 | 3 | 53 | 39 | 404 | 21 | 42% | 169 |
| 2017 | 14 | 47 | 260 | 2 | 35 | 27 | 279 | 11 | 21% | 107 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Injury history
9 injury entries across 6 seasons · 7 weeks ruled out or doubtful · most often ankle
Model track record
out-of-sample, 2019 onwards| Market | Graded | In band | Avg miss | vs form |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing yards | 91 | 78% | 23.8 | -1.1 |
| Receptions | 91 | 79% | 2.1 | +0.0 |
| Receiving yards | 91 | 80% | 22.9 | +0.4 |
| Rush attempts | 91 | 97% | 3.6 | -0.2 |
| Rush + rec yards | 91 | 80% | 31.4 | +1.8 |
| Anytime TD | 91 | 44% vs 48% | 0.4 | +0.0 |
| First TD scorer | 91 | 10% vs 15% | 0.2 | +0.0 |
| Longest rush | 91 | 75% | 8.5 | +0.9 |
| Longest reception | 90 | 74% | 8.4 | +1.4 |
Out-of-sample: each prediction came from a model trained only on earlier seasons. In band should sit near 80% where a band exists — that is the calibration claim, checkable here. It is tinted only when it strays further than sampling noise explains, which for one player is roughly ±7 points. vs form is how much closer the model landed than guessing his recent average. This grades the model against RESULTS, not against a betting line.
Last 10 games
| Game | Opp | Snap% | Tgt | Rec | RecYd | Car | RushYd | PassYd | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 wk 2 |  GB | 52% | 4 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 17 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 1 |  NYG | 47% | 3 | 3 | 31 | 6 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
| 2024 wk 21 |  PHI | 59% | 7 | 5 | 17 | 8 | 15 | 0 | 0 |
| 2024 wk 20 |  DET | 37% | 4 | 4 | 41 | 6 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 2024 wk 19 |  TB | 47% | 4 | 3 | 26 | 8 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
| 2024 wk 18 |  DAL | 60% | 2 | 2 | 20 | 3 | 12 | 0 | 0 |
| 2024 wk 12 | DAL | 63% | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 2024 wk 11 | PHI | 52% | 9 | 8 | 89 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 2024 wk 10 |  PIT | 70% | 2 | 1 | 7 | 13 | 44 | 0 | 2 |
| 2024 wk 9 | NYG | 47% | 4 | 3 | 41 | 11 | 42 | 0 | 1 |