NFL Analytics Dashboard2026 · Week 4
Oct 1, 7:05 PM EDT
Slate

Cooper Kupp

WR
96% to play
Game
2026 wk 4
Total
42.5
Implied team total
24.8
Depth
#3
Recent snaps
69%

33 yrs · 6′2″, 205 lb · Eastern Washington · 2017 rd 3 pk 69

Projections

MarketProjectionLikely rangeFair oddsEvidence
Rushing
Longest rush5.50.0 – 14.2–Little to go on
Receiving
Receiving yards30.15.6 – 72.2–Solid
Receptions2.81.0 – 5.2–Solid
Longest reception20.05.8 – 35.3–Solid
Rush + rec yards29.74.3 – 71.8–Solid
Touchdowns
Anytime TD19.8%no range+406Solid
First TD scorer4.5%no range+2118Solid

Form

WindowGPTgtRecRec ydRec TDTgt shareWOPRRZ tgtSnap%PPR
Last 333.32.733.70.3310%0.271.0063%8.0
Last 555.63.639.60.4016%0.371.0069%10.0
Last 10105.03.437.80.2017%0.391.2575%8.4
2026 season33.32.733.70.3310%0.271.0063%8.0

Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.

Career by season · totals

WindowGPTgtRecRec ydRec TDTgt shareWOPRRZ tgtSnap%PPR
20263108101110%1163%24
2025167047593216%51376%116
20241210067710625%71082%175
2023129559737526%72191%164
202299875812631%61195%201
2021171911451,9471632%123994%440
20201512492974323%71380%211
201916134941,1611022%82281%271
201885540566620%41183%135
2017159462869520%72376%177

Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.

Injury history

10 injury entries across 7 seasons · 8 weeks ruled out or doubtful · most often knee

2025HamstringHeel
2024Ankle×4Coach's Decision
2023Coach's decisionHamstring
2022Foot
2020Knee
2018Knee×3
2017Knee

Model track record

out-of-sample, 2019 onwards
MarketGradedIn bandAvg missvs form
Receptions10873%2.2+0.1
Receiving yards10865%33.9-1.2
Rush + rec yards10870%33.5-1.0
Anytime TD10833% vs 43%0.5-0.0
First TD scorer1088% vs 6%0.1-0.0
Longest reception10673%12.5+2.3
Longest rush1861%6.6+2.4

Out-of-sample: each prediction came from a model trained only on earlier seasons. In band should sit near 80% where a band exists — that is the calibration claim, checkable here. It is tinted only when it strays further than sampling noise explains, which for one player is roughly ±7 points. vs form is how much closer the model landed than guessing his recent average. This grades the model against RESULTS, not against a betting line.

Last 10 games

GameOppSnap%TgtRecRecYdCarRushYdPassYdTD
2026 wk 3WAS67%54460001
2026 wk 2ARI43%22200000
2026 wk 1NE78%32350000
2025 wk 22NE78%126610000
2025 wk 21LA78%64360001
2025 wk 20SF74%55600000
2025 wk 18SF77%32290000
2025 wk 17CAR88%3160000
2025 wk 16LA93%43390000
2025 wk 15IND75%75460000