NFL Analytics Dashboard2026 · Week 4
Oct 1, 7:05 PM EDT
Slate

Chris Godwin Jr.

WR
96% to play
Game
2026 wk 4
Total
38.5
Implied team total
17.5
Depth
#2
Recent snaps
77%

30 yrs · 6′1″, 209 lb · Penn State · 2017 rd 3 pk 84

Projections

MarketProjectionLikely rangeFair oddsEvidence
Rushing
Longest rush6.00.0 – 17.0–Solid
Receiving
Receiving yards27.86.0 – 66.8–Solid
Receptions2.91.0 – 5.6–Solid
Longest reception19.26.1 – 32.6–Solid
Rush + rec yards38.56.6 – 81.7–Solid
Touchdowns
Anytime TD13.4%no range+648Solid
First TD scorer3.6%no range+2700Solid

Form

WindowGPTgtRecRec ydRec TDTgt shareWOPRRZ tgtSnap%PPR
Last 333.73.337.00.0012%0.21–78%7.5
Last 554.03.645.40.2012%0.211.0077%9.6
Last 10104.83.741.90.2016%0.311.5071%9.4
2026 season33.73.337.00.0012%0.21–78%7.5

Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.

Career by season · totals

WindowGPTgtRecRec ydRec TDTgt shareWOPRRZ tgtSnap%PPR
202631110111012%1–78%23
202595133360218%3871%83
202476250576528%4787%138
202317130831,024224%91781%209
2022151421041,023322%71880%223
202114127981,103521%62686%242
2020128465840719%5985%191
201914121861,333923%71592%276
2018169559842716%61864%185
2017155534525110%4842%93

Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.

Injury history

14 injury entries across 8 seasons · 16 weeks ruled out or doubtful · most often hamstring

2025Fibula×6Ankle×4
2023Neck×2Knee
2022Hamstring×3Knee
2021Foot
2020Finger×2Hamstring×2Concussion
2019Hamstring×2Hip
2018Ankle
2017Ankle

Model track record

out-of-sample, 2019 onwards
MarketGradedIn bandAvg missvs form
Receptions9582%2.0+0.0
Receiving yards9574%28.8+3.6
Rush + rec yards9577%28.7+3.3
Anytime TD9532% vs 34%0.4+0.0
First TD scorer956% vs 12%0.2+0.0
Longest reception9481%9.6+0.7
Longest rush1593%4.6+0.5

Out-of-sample: each prediction came from a model trained only on earlier seasons. In band should sit near 80% where a band exists — that is the calibration claim, checkable here. It is tinted only when it strays further than sampling noise explains, which for one player is roughly ±7 points. vs form is how much closer the model landed than guessing his recent average. This grades the model against RESULTS, not against a betting line.

Last 10 games

GameOppSnap%TgtRecRecYdCarRushYdPassYdTD
2026 wk 3MIN62%43250000
2026 wk 2CLE86%334611200
2026 wk 1CIN86%44401300
2025 wk 18CAR70%1180000
2025 wk 17MIA79%871080001
2025 wk 16CAR64%65300000
2025 wk 15ATL96%54200001
2025 wk 14NO69%85550000
2025 wk 13ARI66%53780000
2025 wk 12LA36%4290000