Marquez Valdes-Scantling
WR
- Game
- 2026 wk 4
- Total
- 42.5
- Implied team total
- 17.8
- Depth
- #5
- Recent snaps
- 54%
31 yrs · 6′4″, 206 lb · University of South Florida; N.C. State · 2018 rd 5 pk 174
Projections
| Market | Projection | Likely range | Fair odds | Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing | ||||
| Longest rush | 6.1 | 0.0 – 16.7 | – | Little to go on |
| Receiving | ||||
| Receiving yards | 4.9 | 0.0 – 31.4 | – | Solid |
| Receptions | 1.4 | 0.0 – 3.0 | – | Solid |
| Longest reception | 17.5 | 4.2 – 33.2 | – | Solid |
| Rush + rec yards | 14.9 | 0.0 – 38.8 | – | Solid |
| Touchdowns | ||||
| Anytime TD | 6.9% | no range | +1345 | Solid |
| First TD scorer | 2.0% | no range | +4965 | Solid |
Form
| Window | GP | Tgt | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD | Tgt share | WOPR | RZ tgt | Snap% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 3 | 3 | 4.3 | 2.7 | 20.0 | 0.00 | 12% | 0.27 | 1.00 | 49% | 4.7 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 5.0 | 2.4 | 17.4 | 0.00 | 13% | 0.34 | 2.00 | 54% | 4.1 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 3.4 | 1.7 | 14.6 | 0.10 | 9% | 0.24 | 1.67 | 49% | 3.8 |
| 2026 season | 1 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 3% | 0.10 | – | 4% | 0.0 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Career by season · totals
| Window | GP | Tgt | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD | Tgt share | WOPR | RZ tgt | Snap% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3% | 0 | – | 4% | 0 |
| 2025 | 9 | 29 | 14 | 120 | 1 | 8% | 2 | 5 | 49% | 32 |
| 2024 | 13 | 44 | 19 | 411 | 4 | 11% | 4 | 2 | 56% | 85 |
| 2023 | 16 | 42 | 21 | 315 | 1 | 8% | 4 | 5 | 57% | 57 |
| 2022 | 17 | 81 | 42 | 687 | 2 | 14% | 7 | 11 | 67% | 122 |
| 2021 | 11 | 55 | 26 | 430 | 3 | 15% | 5 | 9 | 62% | 87 |
| 2020 | 14 | 63 | 33 | 690 | 6 | 14% | 6 | 6 | 77% | 137 |
| 2019 | 15 | 56 | 26 | 452 | 2 | 11% | 5 | 4 | 53% | 84 |
| 2018 | 16 | 73 | 38 | 581 | 2 | 12% | 5 | 9 | 65% | 111 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Injury history
6 injury entries across 5 seasons · 2 weeks ruled out or doubtful · most often chest
Model track record
out-of-sample, 2019 onwards| Market | Graded | In band | Avg miss | vs form |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receptions | 106 | 86% | 1.3 | +0.0 |
| Receiving yards | 106 | 75% | 28.0 | +0.9 |
| Rush + rec yards | 106 | 72% | 27.1 | +1.8 |
| Anytime TD | 106 | 22% vs 20% | 0.3 | -0.0 |
| First TD scorer | 106 | 4% vs 4% | 0.1 | +0.0 |
| Longest reception | 85 | 68% | 14.5 | +1.6 |
| Longest rush | 8 | 75% | 5.1 | +5.6 |
Out-of-sample: each prediction came from a model trained only on earlier seasons. In band should sit near 80% where a band exists — that is the calibration claim, checkable here. It is tinted only when it strays further than sampling noise explains, which for one player is roughly ±7 points. vs form is how much closer the model landed than guessing his recent average. This grades the model against RESULTS, not against a betting line.
Last 10 games
| Game | Opp | Snap% | Tgt | Rec | RecYd | Car | RushYd | PassYd | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 wk 3 |  BUF | 4% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 19 |  HOU | 58% | 5 | 3 | 26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 18 |  BAL | 84% | 7 | 5 | 34 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 17 |  CLE | 82% | 9 | 3 | 21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 16 |  DET | 42% | 3 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 15 |  MIA | 52% | 1 | 1 | 19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2025 wk 14 | BAL | 31% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 6 |  TB | 61% | 3 | 2 | 22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 5 |  LA | 53% | 3 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 3 |  ARI | 26% | 1 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |