Dallas Goedert
TE
31 yrs · 6′5″, 256 lb · South Dakota State · 2018 rd 2 pk 49
Projections
Dallas Goedert is listed Doubtful and cannot play this week. No projections are published for him — a prop that voids is not a bet, and a number here would read as one.
The splits and history below are unchanged — they are a record of games already played, and stay accurate whatever happens this week.
Form
| Window | GP | Tgt | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD | Tgt share | WOPR | RZ tgt | Snap% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 3 | 3 | 4.7 | 3.0 | 38.0 | 1.00 | 16% | 0.37 | 2.00 | 71% | 14.8 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 4.6 | 3.0 | 30.8 | 1.00 | 17% | 0.36 | 2.00 | 76% | 13.3 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 5.1 | 3.5 | 37.3 | 0.70 | 19% | 0.38 | 2.00 | 82% | 12.0 |
| 2026 season | 2 | 3.5 | 2.5 | 40.5 | 1.00 | 14% | 0.30 | 2.00 | 60% | 12.5 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Career by season · totals
| Window | GP | Tgt | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD | Tgt share | WOPR | RZ tgt | Snap% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 81 | 2 | 14% | 1 | 2 | 60% | 25 |
| 2025 | 15 | 82 | 60 | 591 | 11 | 21% | 6 | 15 | 85% | 185 |
| 2024 | 10 | 52 | 42 | 496 | 2 | 19% | 4 | 9 | 65% | 104 |
| 2023 | 14 | 83 | 59 | 592 | 3 | 19% | 5 | 10 | 84% | 136 |
| 2022 | 12 | 69 | 55 | 702 | 3 | 20% | 5 | 10 | 90% | 141 |
| 2021 | 15 | 76 | 56 | 830 | 4 | 21% | 7 | 8 | 78% | 165 |
| 2020 | 11 | 65 | 46 | 524 | 3 | 17% | 4 | 6 | 79% | 116 |
| 2019 | 15 | 87 | 58 | 607 | 5 | 16% | 5 | 11 | 71% | 145 |
| 2018 | 15 | 44 | 33 | 334 | 4 | 8% | 3 | 7 | 50% | 90 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Injury history
7 injury entries across 6 seasons · 11 weeks ruled out or doubtful · most often knee
Model track record
out-of-sample, 2019 onwards| Market | Graded | In band | Avg miss | vs form |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receptions | 103 | 82% | 1.8 | +0.1 |
| Receiving yards | 103 | 80% | 23.6 | +1.2 |
| Rush + rec yards | 103 | 82% | 23.6 | +1.4 |
| Anytime TD | 103 | 26% vs 30% | 0.4 | +0.0 |
| First TD scorer | 103 | 6% vs 9% | 0.1 | +0.0 |
| Longest reception | 100 | 84% | 7.3 | +0.5 |
Out-of-sample: each prediction came from a model trained only on earlier seasons. In band should sit near 80% where a band exists — that is the calibration claim, checkable here. It is tinted only when it strays further than sampling noise explains, which for one player is roughly ±7 points. vs form is how much closer the model landed than guessing his recent average. This grades the model against RESULTS, not against a betting line.
Last 10 games
| Game | Opp | Snap% | Tgt | Rec | RecYd | Car | RushYd | PassYd | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 wk 2 |  TEN | 25% | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026 wk 1 |  WAS | 95% | 5 | 4 | 77 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 2025 wk 19 |  SF | 92% | 7 | 4 | 33 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| 2025 wk 17 |  BUF | 80% | 6 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2025 wk 16 | WAS | 87% | 3 | 3 | 32 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2025 wk 15 |  LV | 74% | 7 | 6 | 70 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 2025 wk 14 |  LAC | 93% | 10 | 8 | 78 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 13 |  CHI | 89% | 4 | 2 | 27 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 12 |  DAL | 92% | 2 | 2 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 11 |  DET | 90% | 5 | 2 | 24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |