Christian Kirk
WR
29 yrs · 5′11″, 200 lb · Texas A&M · 2018 rd 2 pk 47
Projections
Christian Kirk is listed IR and cannot play this week. No projections are published for him — a prop that voids is not a bet, and a number here would read as one.
The splits and history below are unchanged — they are a record of games already played, and stay accurate whatever happens this week.
Form
| Window | GP | Tgt | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD | Tgt share | WOPR | RZ tgt | Snap% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 3 | 3 | 5.7 | 3.7 | 53.7 | 0.67 | 16% | 0.34 | 1.50 | 61% | 13.0 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 5.4 | 3.2 | 39.8 | 0.40 | 17% | 0.33 | 1.50 | 58% | 9.6 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 5.1 | 2.8 | 29.4 | 0.30 | 15% | 0.31 | 1.80 | 51% | 7.5 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Career by season · totals
| Window | GP | Tgt | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD | Tgt share | WOPR | RZ tgt | Snap% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 11 | 52 | 28 | 239 | 1 | 15% | 3 | 7 | 51% | 58 |
| 2024 | 8 | 47 | 27 | 379 | 1 | 19% | 4 | 5 | 70% | 71 |
| 2023 | 12 | 85 | 57 | 787 | 3 | 21% | 6 | 6 | 71% | 150 |
| 2022 | 17 | 133 | 84 | 1,108 | 8 | 24% | 9 | 24 | 88% | 242 |
| 2021 | 17 | 103 | 77 | 982 | 5 | 18% | 8 | 10 | 76% | 208 |
| 2020 | 14 | 79 | 48 | 621 | 6 | 16% | 6 | 14 | 77% | 146 |
| 2019 | 13 | 108 | 68 | 709 | 3 | 24% | 7 | 13 | 94% | 168 |
| 2018 | 12 | 68 | 43 | 590 | 3 | 22% | 6 | 6 | 79% | 124 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Injury history
6 injury entries across 5 seasons · 7 weeks ruled out or doubtful · most often ankle
Model track record
out-of-sample, 2019 onwards| Market | Graded | In band | Avg miss | vs form |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receptions | 97 | 82% | 2.0 | +0.1 |
| Receiving yards | 97 | 75% | 28.5 | +3.5 |
| Rush + rec yards | 97 | 76% | 28.6 | +3.1 |
| Anytime TD | 97 | 27% vs 25% | 0.4 | -0.0 |
| First TD scorer | 97 | 6% vs 4% | 0.1 | -0.0 |
| Longest reception | 96 | 69% | 12.7 | +1.3 |
| Longest rush | 19 | 79% | 5.6 | +2.8 |
Out-of-sample: each prediction came from a model trained only on earlier seasons. In band should sit near 80% where a band exists — that is the calibration claim, checkable here. It is tinted only when it strays further than sampling noise explains, which for one player is roughly ±7 points. vs form is how much closer the model landed than guessing his recent average. This grades the model against RESULTS, not against a betting line.
Last 10 games
| Game | Opp | Snap% | Tgt | Rec | RecYd | Car | RushYd | PassYd | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 wk 20 |  NE | 69% | 6 | 2 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2025 wk 19 |  PIT | 56% | 9 | 8 | 144 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2025 wk 18 |  IND | 57% | 2 | 1 | -3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 17 |  LAC | 45% | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 16 |  LV | 62% | 5 | 3 | 37 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 14 |  KC | 36% | 3 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 12 |  BUF | 32% | 6 | 5 | 54 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2025 wk 11 |  TEN | 51% | 4 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 10 |  JAX | 43% | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 9 |  DEN | 56% | 8 | 4 | 26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |