Saquon Barkley
RB
- Game
- 2026 wk 4
- Total
- 43.5
- Implied team total
- 20.3
- Depth
- #1
- Recent snaps
- 65%
29 yrs · 6′0″, 232 lb · Penn State · 2018 rd 1 pk 2
Projections
| Market | Projection | Likely range | Fair odds | Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing | ||||
| Rushing yards | 62.7 | 23.7 – 106.9 | – | Solid |
| Rush attempts | 14.6 | 1.0 – 20.2 | – | Solid |
| Longest rush | 16.5 | 7.2 – 28.0 | – | Solid |
| Receiving | ||||
| Receiving yards | 11.7 | 0.0 – 31.2 | – | Solid |
| Receptions | 1.6 | 0.0 – 3.6 | – | Solid |
| Longest reception | 10.4 | 1.5 – 24.0 | – | Solid |
| Rush + rec yards | 74.4 | 28.0 – 120.3 | – | Solid |
| Touchdowns | ||||
| Anytime TD | 33.8% | no range | +196 | Differs from form |
| First TD scorer | 10.6% | no range | +841 | Solid |
Form
| Window | GP | Car | Rush yd | Rush TD | Tgt | Rec | Rec yd | RZ tch | Snap% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 3 | 3 | 11.3 | 58.0 | 0.00 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.50 | 53% | 7.0 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 15.8 | 69.6 | 0.00 | 2.4 | 1.2 | 6.2 | 3.00 | 65% | 8.8 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 16.5 | 75.8 | 0.30 | 2.9 | 1.5 | 9.7 | 3.78 | 72% | 11.9 |
| 2026 season | 3 | 11.3 | 58.0 | 0.00 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.50 | 53% | 7.0 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Career by season · totals
| Window | GP | Car | Rush yd | Rush TD | Tgt | Rec | Rec yd | RZ tch | Snap% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 3 | 34 | 174 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 53% | 21 |
| 2025 | 16 | 280 | 1,140 | 7 | 50 | 37 | 273 | 52 | 78% | 232 |
| 2024 | 16 | 345 | 2,005 | 13 | 43 | 33 | 278 | 75 | 73% | 355 |
| 2023 | 14 | 247 | 962 | 6 | 60 | 41 | 280 | 49 | 79% | 223 |
| 2022 | 16 | 295 | 1,312 | 10 | 76 | 57 | 338 | 41 | 80% | 284 |
| 2021 | 13 | 162 | 593 | 2 | 57 | 41 | 263 | 15 | 62% | 149 |
| 2020 | 2 | 19 | 34 | 0 | 9 | 6 | 60 | 5 | 50% | 15 |
| 2019 | 13 | 217 | 1,003 | 6 | 73 | 52 | 438 | 39 | 83% | 244 |
| 2018 | 16 | 261 | 1,307 | 11 | 121 | 91 | 721 | 67 | 83% | 386 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Injury history
6 injury entries across 5 seasons · 10 weeks ruled out or doubtful · most often ankle
Model track record
out-of-sample, 2019 onwards| Market | Graded | In band | Avg miss | vs form |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing yards | 97 | 71% | 36.7 | -1.6 |
| Receptions | 97 | 82% | 1.4 | +0.1 |
| Receiving yards | 97 | 79% | 16.6 | +1.4 |
| Rush attempts | 97 | 86% | 4.8 | +0.3 |
| Rush + rec yards | 97 | 75% | 38.4 | +3.4 |
| Anytime TD | 97 | 44% vs 45% | 0.5 | +0.0 |
| First TD scorer | 97 | 11% vs 12% | 0.2 | +0.0 |
| Longest rush | 97 | 65% | 12.8 | +2.7 |
| Longest reception | 88 | 74% | 9.9 | +1.6 |
Out-of-sample: each prediction came from a model trained only on earlier seasons. In band should sit near 80% where a band exists — that is the calibration claim, checkable here. It is tinted only when it strays further than sampling noise explains, which for one player is roughly ±7 points. vs form is how much closer the model landed than guessing his recent average. This grades the model against RESULTS, not against a betting line.
Last 10 games
| Game | Opp | Snap% | Tgt | Rec | RecYd | Car | RushYd | PassYd | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 wk 3 |  CHI | 72% | 2 | 1 | -2 | 15 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026 wk 2 |  TEN | 16% | 2 | 1 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026 wk 1 |  WAS | 71% | 2 | 1 | -3 | 15 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 19 |  SF | 85% | 6 | 3 | 25 | 26 | 106 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 17 |  BUF | 80% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 16 | WAS | 77% | 2 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 132 | 0 | 1 |
| 2025 wk 15 |  LV | 57% | 3 | 2 | 14 | 22 | 78 | 0 | 1 |
| 2025 wk 14 |  LAC | 82% | 2 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 122 | 0 | 1 |
| 2025 wk 13 | CHI | 93% | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 12 |  DAL | 83% | 8 | 7 | 52 | 10 | 22 | 0 | 0 |