Baker Mayfield
QB
31 yrs · 6′1″, 215 lb · Oklahoma; Texas Tech · 2018 rd 1 pk 1
Projections
Baker Mayfield is listed Out and cannot play this week. No projections are published for him — a prop that voids is not a bet, and a number here would read as one.
The splits and history below are unchanged — they are a record of games already played, and stay accurate whatever happens this week.
Form
| Window | GP | Att | Cmp | Pass yd | Pass TD | INT | Car | Rush yd | Sacked | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 3 | 3 | 32.0 | 20.3 | 205.0 | 0.67 | 0.67 | 3.7 | 21.7 | 4.33 | 11.7 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 32.4 | 22.0 | 232.8 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 3.6 | 22.4 | 3.60 | 13.2 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 29.9 | 18.8 | 194.3 | 1.10 | 1.00 | 3.9 | 25.0 | 2.90 | 12.7 |
| 2026 season | 3 | 32.0 | 20.3 | 205.0 | 0.67 | 0.67 | 3.7 | 21.7 | 4.33 | 11.7 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Career by season · totals
| Window | GP | Att | Cmp | Pass yd | Pass TD | INT | Car | Rush yd | Sacked | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 3 | 96 | 61 | 615 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 65 | 13 | 35 |
| 2025 | 17 | 543 | 343 | 3,693 | 26 | 11 | 55 | 382 | 36 | 272 |
| 2024 | 17 | 570 | 407 | 4,500 | 41 | 16 | 60 | 378 | 40 | 366 |
| 2023 | 17 | 566 | 364 | 4,044 | 28 | 10 | 62 | 163 | 40 | 274 |
| 2022 | 12 | 335 | 201 | 2,163 | 10 | 8 | 31 | 89 | 36 | 121 |
| 2021 | 14 | 418 | 253 | 3,010 | 17 | 13 | 37 | 134 | 43 | 181 |
| 2020 | 16 | 486 | 305 | 3,563 | 26 | 8 | 54 | 165 | 26 | 249 |
| 2019 | 16 | 534 | 317 | 3,827 | 22 | 21 | 28 | 141 | 40 | 229 |
| 2018 | 14 | 486 | 310 | 3,725 | 27 | 14 | 39 | 131 | 25 | 240 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Injury history
8 injury entries across 5 seasons · 3 weeks ruled out or doubtful · most often ankle
Model track record
out-of-sample, 2019 onwards| Market | Graded | In band | Avg miss | vs form |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Passing yards | 114 | 86% | 59.7 | +0.8 |
| Passing TDs | 114 | 91% | 0.9 | +0.0 |
| Completions | 114 | 86% | 4.7 | +0.4 |
| Rushing yards | 114 | 83% | 10.4 | +0.4 |
| Pass attempts | 114 | 86% | 6.0 | +0.8 |
| Interceptions | 114 | 89% | 0.7 | +0.0 |
| Pass + rush yards | 114 | 87% | 60.1 | +1.5 |
| Rush attempts | 114 | 87% | 1.6 | +0.0 |
| Anytime TD | 114 | 13% vs 10% | 0.2 | -0.0 |
| First TD scorer | 114 | 2% vs 2% | 0.0 | -0.0 |
| Longest completion | 114 | 82% | 12.6 | +0.6 |
| Longest rush | 98 | 80% | 5.1 | +0.1 |
Out-of-sample: each prediction came from a model trained only on earlier seasons. In band should sit near 80% where a band exists — that is the calibration claim, checkable here. It is tinted only when it strays further than sampling noise explains, which for one player is roughly ±7 points. vs form is how much closer the model landed than guessing his recent average. This grades the model against RESULTS, not against a betting line.
Last 10 games
| Game | Opp | Snap% | Tgt | Rec | RecYd | Car | RushYd | PassYd | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 wk 3 |  MIN | 94% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 217 | 1 |
| 2026 wk 2 |  CLE | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 29 | 182 | 1 |
| 2026 wk 1 |  CIN | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 30 | 216 | 1 |
| 2025 wk 18 |  CAR | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 31 | 203 | 1 |
| 2025 wk 17 |  MIA | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 346 | 2 |
| 2025 wk 16 | CAR | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 49 | 145 | 1 |
| 2025 wk 15 |  ATL | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 277 | 2 |
| 2025 wk 14 |  NO | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 42 | 122 | 1 |
| 2025 wk 13 |  ARI | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 27 | 194 | 1 |
| 2025 wk 12 |  LA | 56% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 41 | 1 |