NFL Analytics Dashboard2026 · Week 4
Oct 1, 7:05 PM EDT
Slate

Jakobi Meyers

WR
97% to play
Game
2026 wk 4
Total
51.5
Implied team total
24.5
Depth
#2
Recent snaps
82%

29 yrs · 6′2″, 200 lb · N.C. State

Projections

MarketProjectionLikely rangeFair oddsEvidence
Rushing
Longest rush6.90.0 – 17.4–Solid
Receiving
Receiving yards35.87.5 – 86.8–Solid
Receptions3.40.0 – 5.8–Solid
Longest reception20.77.5 – 38.4–Solid
Rush + rec yards42.04.1 – 87.4–Solid
Touchdowns
Anytime TD24.9%no range+302Solid
First TD scorer5.6%no range+1684Solid

Form

WindowGPTgtRecRec ydRec TDTgt shareWOPRRZ tgtSnap%PPR
Last 333.73.344.00.6714%0.342.0079%11.8
Last 554.23.237.60.4015%0.341.5082%9.4
Last 10106.14.147.20.4020%0.451.5085%11.2
2026 season33.73.344.00.6714%0.342.0079%11.8

Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.

Career by season · totals

WindowGPTgtRecRec ydRec TDTgt shareWOPRRZ tgtSnap%PPR
202631110132214%1279%35
20251611075835323%91585%176
202415129871,027425%91692%218
20231610671807821%81690%219
2022149667804622%81079%182
20211612683866224%91686%186
2020128159729029%8688%143
2019114126359010%3447%62

Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.

Injury history

8 injury entries across 5 seasons · 3 weeks ruled out or doubtful · most often knee

2025Knee
2024Ankle×3Abdomen
2023Concussion
2022Knee×5Shoulder×3Concussion×2
2021Thigh×3

Model track record

out-of-sample, 2019 onwards
MarketGradedIn bandAvg missvs form
Receptions10286%1.8+0.1
Receiving yards10284%23.3+0.2
Rush + rec yards10287%22.1+1.8
Anytime TD10227% vs 23%0.4-0.0
Longest reception10288%7.2+0.3
First TD scorer1027% vs 8%0.1-0.0
Longest rush1493%4.6+1.5

Out-of-sample: each prediction came from a model trained only on earlier seasons. In band should sit near 80% where a band exists — that is the calibration claim, checkable here. It is tinted only when it strays further than sampling noise explains, which for one player is roughly ±7 points. vs form is how much closer the model landed than guessing his recent average. This grades the model against RESULTS, not against a betting line.

Last 10 games

GameOppSnap%TgtRecRecYdCarRushYdPassYdTD
2026 wk 3NE81%87640001
2026 wk 2DEN90%11280000
2026 wk 1CLE65%22401201
2025 wk 19BUF96%41120000
2025 wk 18TEN79%65440000
2025 wk 17IND94%96390000
2025 wk 16DEN86%84451100
2025 wk 15NYJ87%75710000
2025 wk 14IND83%104393901
2025 wk 13TEN92%66901301