Lil'Jordan Humphrey
WR
- Game
- 2026 wk 4
- Total
- 47.5
- Implied team total
- 22.3
- Depth
- #6
- Recent snaps
- 45%
28 yrs · 6′4″, 225 lb · Texas
Projections
| Market | Projection | Likely range | Fair odds | Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing | ||||
| Longest rush | 7.5 | 0.0 – 14.5 | – | Little to go on |
| Receiving | ||||
| Receiving yards | 8.1 | 0.0 – 33.2 | – | Solid |
| Receptions | 1.3 | 0.0 – 2.0 | – | Solid |
| Longest reception | 15.4 | 4.1 – 31.4 | – | Solid |
| Rush + rec yards | 14.6 | 0.0 – 36.1 | – | Solid |
| Touchdowns | ||||
| Anytime TD | 4.9% | no range | +1922 | Solid |
| First TD scorer | 1.6% | no range | +6004 | Solid |
Form
| Window | GP | Tgt | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD | Tgt share | WOPR | RZ tgt | Snap% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 3 | 3 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 12.7 | 0.33 | 9% | 0.24 | 1.00 | 49% | 4.3 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 3.2 | 1.2 | 14.0 | 0.20 | 9% | 0.23 | 1.00 | 45% | 3.8 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 3.4 | 1.6 | 19.4 | 0.20 | 10% | 0.26 | 1.25 | 53% | 4.7 |
| 2026 season | 1 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 3% | 0.09 | – | 5% | 0.0 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Career by season · totals
| Window | GP | Tgt | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD | Tgt share | WOPR | RZ tgt | Snap% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3% | 0 | – | 5% | 0 |
| 2025 | 7 | 25 | 13 | 156 | 1 | 11% | 2 | 4 | 54% | 35 |
| 2024 | 14 | 45 | 31 | 293 | 1 | 10% | 3 | 6 | 52% | 64 |
| 2023 | 11 | 19 | 13 | 162 | 3 | 6% | 2 | 4 | 44% | 47 |
| 2022 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 20 | 0 | 4% | 0 | – | 49% | 4 |
| 2021 | 8 | 18 | 13 | 249 | 2 | 9% | 2 | 2 | 40% | 50 |
| 2020 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 46 | 1 | 8% | 0 | 1 | 43% | 14 |
| 2019 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3% | 0 | – | 14% | 0 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Injury history
2 injury entries across 1 season · most often hamstring
Model track record
out-of-sample, 2019 onwards| Market | Graded | In band | Avg miss | vs form |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receptions | 50 | 88% | 1.1 | +0.0 |
| Receiving yards | 50 | 88% | 16.3 | +1.1 |
| Rush + rec yards | 50 | 84% | 15.7 | +1.7 |
| Anytime TD | 50 | 12% vs 18% | 0.3 | +0.1 |
| First TD scorer | 49 | 3% vs 2% | 0.0 | -0.0 |
| Longest reception | 39 | 79% | 9.3 | +1.0 |
Out-of-sample: each prediction came from a model trained only on earlier seasons. In band should sit near 80% where a band exists — that is the calibration claim, checkable here. It is tinted only when it strays further than sampling noise explains, which for one player is roughly ±7 points. vs form is how much closer the model landed than guessing his recent average. This grades the model against RESULTS, not against a betting line.
Last 10 games
| Game | Opp | Snap% | Tgt | Rec | RecYd | Car | RushYd | PassYd | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 wk 2 |  JAX | 5% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 21 |  NE | 74% | 3 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 20 |  BUF | 67% | 5 | 2 | 33 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2025 wk 17 |  KC | 60% | 5 | 2 | 23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 16 | JAX | 20% | 2 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 15 |  GB | 68% | 4 | 3 | 42 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2025 wk 14 |  LV | 38% | 3 | 3 | 27 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 13 |  WAS | 20% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 7 |  DEN | 96% | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 6 |  PHI | 77% | 8 | 4 | 55 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |