Darius Slayton
WR
- Game
- 2026 wk 4
- Total
- 47.5
- Implied team total
- 25.5
- Depth
- #3
- Recent snaps
- 83%
29 yrs · 6′1″, 198 lb · Auburn · 2019 rd 5 pk 171
Projections
| Market | Projection | Likely range | Fair odds | Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing | ||||
| Longest rush | 7.5 | 0.0 – 19.0 | – | Little to go on |
| Receiving | ||||
| Receiving yards | 25.9 | 0.0 – 66.6 | – | Solid |
| Receptions | 2.5 | 0.0 – 4.8 | – | Solid |
| Longest reception | 20.8 | 5.5 – 33.5 | – | Solid |
| Rush + rec yards | 31.3 | 0.0 – 74.6 | – | Solid |
| Touchdowns | ||||
| Anytime TD | 16.6% | no range | +502 | Solid |
| First TD scorer | 4.2% | no range | +2298 | Solid |
Form
| Window | GP | Tgt | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD | Tgt share | WOPR | RZ tgt | Snap% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 3 | 3 | 4.7 | 2.3 | 26.0 | 0.00 | 18% | 0.43 | 2.00 | 85% | 5.6 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 5.4 | 2.6 | 34.4 | 0.20 | 19% | 0.47 | 1.67 | 83% | 8.0 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 5.1 | 2.8 | 40.3 | 0.10 | 17% | 0.45 | 1.50 | 78% | 7.6 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Career by season · totals
| Window | GP | Tgt | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD | Tgt share | WOPR | RZ tgt | Snap% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 14 | 63 | 37 | 538 | 1 | 15% | 6 | 8 | 81% | 99 |
| 2024 | 16 | 71 | 39 | 573 | 2 | 14% | 6 | 6 | 83% | 110 |
| 2023 | 17 | 79 | 50 | 770 | 4 | 16% | 7 | 4 | 81% | 151 |
| 2022 | 13 | 71 | 46 | 724 | 2 | 19% | 7 | 3 | 78% | 128 |
| 2021 | 13 | 58 | 26 | 339 | 2 | 13% | 5 | 2 | 64% | 69 |
| 2020 | 16 | 96 | 50 | 751 | 3 | 19% | 8 | 10 | 87% | 141 |
| 2019 | 14 | 84 | 48 | 740 | 8 | 17% | 6 | 8 | 76% | 170 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Injury history
8 injury entries across 7 seasons · 9 weeks ruled out or doubtful · most often hamstring
Model track record
out-of-sample, 2019 onwards| Market | Graded | In band | Avg miss | vs form |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anytime TD | 105 | 21% vs 17% | 0.3 | -0.0 |
| Receptions | 105 | 88% | 1.5 | -0.0 |
| Receiving yards | 105 | 74% | 27.5 | +1.1 |
| Rush + rec yards | 105 | 72% | 27.3 | +1.2 |
| First TD scorer | 105 | 4% vs 4% | 0.1 | -0.0 |
| Longest reception | 97 | 77% | 11.9 | +1.1 |
| Longest rush | 6 | 67% | 7.7 | -2.7 |
Out-of-sample: each prediction came from a model trained only on earlier seasons. In band should sit near 80% where a band exists — that is the calibration claim, checkable here. It is tinted only when it strays further than sampling noise explains, which for one player is roughly ±7 points. vs form is how much closer the model landed than guessing his recent average. This grades the model against RESULTS, not against a betting line.
Last 10 games
| Game | Opp | Snap% | Tgt | Rec | RecYd | Car | RushYd | PassYd | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 wk 18 |  DAL | 87% | 9 | 4 | 34 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 17 |  LV | 88% | 3 | 2 | 36 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 16 |  MIN | 79% | 2 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 15 |  WAS | 87% | 10 | 4 | 53 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 13 |  NE | 76% | 3 | 2 | 41 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2025 wk 12 |  DET | 63% | 2 | 1 | 23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 10 |  CHI | 62% | 4 | 4 | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 9 |  SF | 89% | 7 | 5 | 62 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 8 |  PHI | 73% | 5 | 2 | 26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 5 |  NO | 75% | 6 | 3 | 31 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |