Alex Bachman
WR
- Game
- 2026 wk 4
- Total
- 43.5
- Implied team total
- 23.3
- Depth
- #9
- Recent snaps
- 9%
30 yrs · 6′0″, 190 lb · Wake Forest
Projections
| Market | Projection | Likely range | Fair odds | Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing | ||||
| Longest rush | 8.2 | 0.0 – 17.2 | – | Little to go on |
| Receiving | ||||
| Receiving yards | 6.2 | 0.0 – 15.0 | – | Solid |
| Receptions | 1.0 | 0.0 – 1.4 | – | Solid |
| Longest reception | 14.5 | 2.9 – 27.0 | – | Solid |
| Rush + rec yards | 6.3 | 0.0 – 17.5 | – | Solid |
| Touchdowns | ||||
| Anytime TD | 2.6% | no range | +3774 | Solid |
| First TD scorer | 1.2% | no range | +8005 | Solid |
Form
| Window | GP | Tgt | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD | Tgt share | WOPR | RZ tgt | Snap% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 3 | 3 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 0.00 | 2% | 0.03 | – | 14% | 0.4 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 0.00 | 1% | 0.02 | – | 9% | 0.3 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 1.2 | 0.00 | 1% | 0.01 | – | 7% | 0.3 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Career by season · totals
| Window | GP | Tgt | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD | Tgt share | WOPR | RZ tgt | Snap% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 0 | 1% | 0 | – | 7% | 3 |
| 2024 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 31 | 0 | 2% | 0 | 1 | 20% | 6 |
| 2021 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | – | 21% | -0 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Injury history
2 injury entries across 1 season · 2 weeks ruled out or doubtful · most often thumb
Model track record
out-of-sample, 2019 onwards| Market | Graded | In band | Avg miss | vs form |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anytime TD | 18 | 5% vs 0% | 0.0 | -0.0 |
| Receptions | 18 | 94% | 0.7 | -0.2 |
| Receiving yards | 18 | 94% | 7.0 | -2.8 |
| Rush + rec yards | 18 | 89% | 7.4 | -2.9 |
| First TD scorer | 12 | 1% vs 0% | 0.0 | -0.0 |
| Longest reception | 3 | 67% | 5.7 | +3.3 |
| Longest rush | 1 | 0% | 11.9 | – |
Out-of-sample: each prediction came from a model trained only on earlier seasons. In band should sit near 80% where a band exists — that is the calibration claim, checkable here. It is tinted only when it strays further than sampling noise explains, which for one player is roughly ±7 points. vs form is how much closer the model landed than guessing his recent average. This grades the model against RESULTS, not against a betting line.
Last 10 games
| Game | Opp | Snap% | Tgt | Rec | RecYd | Car | RushYd | PassYd | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 wk 18 |  KC | 6% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 17 |  NYG | 20% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 16 |  HOU | 17% | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 13 |  LAC | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 12 |  CLE | 3% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 10 |  DEN | 3% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 9 |  JAX | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 7 | KC | 6% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 6 |  TEN | 5% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 5 |  IND | 12% | 1 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |