Terry McLaurin
WR
- Game
- 2026 wk 4
- Total
- 47.5
- Implied team total
- 22.0
- Depth
- #1
- Recent snaps
- 78%
31 yrs · 6′0″, 210 lb · Ohio State · 2019 rd 3 pk 76
Projections
| Market | Projection | Likely range | Fair odds | Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing | ||||
| Longest rush | 5.8 | 0.0 – 15.3 | – | Little to go on |
| Receiving | ||||
| Receiving yards | 51.7 | 12.9 – 101.0 | – | Solid |
| Receptions | 4.0 | 1.0 – 6.0 | – | Solid |
| Longest reception | 24.5 | 9.5 – 45.0 | – | Solid |
| Rush + rec yards | 54.6 | 9.1 – 106.5 | – | Solid |
| Touchdowns | ||||
| Anytime TD | 25.0% | no range | +300 | Solid |
| First TD scorer | 4.2% | no range | +2298 | Solid |
Form
| Window | GP | Tgt | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD | Tgt share | WOPR | RZ tgt | Snap% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 3 | 3 | 7.3 | 3.3 | 47.0 | 0.33 | 23% | 0.57 | 1.00 | 77% | 10.0 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 6.6 | 3.8 | 52.2 | 0.20 | 25% | 0.62 | 1.00 | 78% | 10.2 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 6.5 | 3.8 | 57.4 | 0.40 | 24% | 0.62 | 1.80 | 71% | 11.9 |
| 2026 season | 3 | 7.3 | 3.3 | 47.0 | 0.33 | 23% | 0.57 | 1.00 | 77% | 10.0 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Career by season · totals
| Window | GP | Tgt | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD | Tgt share | WOPR | RZ tgt | Snap% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 3 | 22 | 10 | 141 | 1 | 23% | 2 | 2 | 77% | 30 |
| 2025 | 10 | 60 | 38 | 582 | 3 | 23% | 6 | 8 | 70% | 114 |
| 2024 | 17 | 117 | 82 | 1,096 | 13 | 23% | 11 | 16 | 80% | 268 |
| 2023 | 17 | 132 | 79 | 1,002 | 4 | 23% | 10 | 10 | 85% | 203 |
| 2022 | 17 | 120 | 77 | 1,191 | 5 | 24% | 10 | 14 | 89% | 229 |
| 2021 | 17 | 130 | 77 | 1,053 | 5 | 25% | 11 | 9 | 90% | 214 |
| 2020 | 15 | 134 | 87 | 1,118 | 4 | 27% | 11 | 14 | 93% | 224 |
| 2019 | 14 | 93 | 58 | 919 | 7 | 23% | 9 | 14 | 93% | 192 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Injury history
6 injury entries across 4 seasons · 9 weeks ruled out or doubtful · most often quadricep
Model track record
out-of-sample, 2019 onwards| Market | Graded | In band | Avg miss | vs form |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receptions | 111 | 86% | 1.6 | +0.1 |
| Receiving yards | 111 | 73% | 27.2 | +1.0 |
| Rush + rec yards | 111 | 76% | 26.7 | +1.5 |
| Anytime TD | 111 | 29% vs 34% | 0.4 | +0.0 |
| First TD scorer | 111 | 7% vs 7% | 0.1 | +0.0 |
| Longest reception | 109 | 75% | 13.0 | +1.7 |
| Longest rush | 11 | 82% | 6.3 | -0.5 |
Out-of-sample: each prediction came from a model trained only on earlier seasons. In band should sit near 80% where a band exists — that is the calibration claim, checkable here. It is tinted only when it strays further than sampling noise explains, which for one player is roughly ±7 points. vs form is how much closer the model landed than guessing his recent average. This grades the model against RESULTS, not against a betting line.
Last 10 games
| Game | Opp | Snap% | Tgt | Rec | RecYd | Car | RushYd | PassYd | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 wk 3 |  SEA | 75% | 9 | 6 | 77 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2026 wk 2 |  DAL | 70% | 9 | 2 | 50 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026 wk 1 |  PHI | 87% | 4 | 2 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 18 | PHI | 70% | 4 | 4 | 57 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 17 | DAL | 86% | 7 | 5 | 63 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 16 | PHI | 83% | 4 | 3 | 53 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 15 |  NYG | 75% | 4 | 3 | 69 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2025 wk 14 |  MIN | 62% | 6 | 3 | 41 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 13 |  DEN | 51% | 14 | 7 | 96 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2025 wk 8 |  KC | 47% | 4 | 3 | 54 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |