Marquise Brown
WR
- Game
- 2026 wk 4
- Total
- 43.5
- Implied team total
- 20.3
- Depth
- #4
- Recent snaps
- 50%
29 yrs · 5′9″, 170 lb · Oklahoma; College of the Canyons · 2019 rd 1 pk 25
Projections
| Market | Projection | Likely range | Fair odds | Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing | ||||
| Longest rush | 6.2 | 0.0 – 15.1 | – | Solid |
| Receiving | ||||
| Receiving yards | 14.3 | 0.0 – 39.6 | – | Solid |
| Receptions | 1.5 | 0.0 – 2.7 | – | Solid |
| Longest reception | 14.8 | 4.2 – 31.8 | – | Solid |
| Rush + rec yards | 17.9 | 0.0 – 50.2 | – | Solid |
| Touchdowns | ||||
| Anytime TD | 9.2% | no range | +982 | Solid |
| First TD scorer | 1.2% | no range | +8005 | Solid |
Form
| Window | GP | Tgt | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD | Tgt share | WOPR | RZ tgt | Snap% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 3 | 3 | 3.0 | 1.3 | 23.7 | 0.00 | 12% | 0.39 | – | 54% | 4.1 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 2.8 | 1.6 | 25.6 | 0.00 | 11% | 0.33 | – | 50% | 4.4 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 2.6 | 1.7 | 27.1 | 0.10 | 9% | 0.25 | 1.00 | 45% | 5.1 |
| 2026 season | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0% | 0.00 | – | 22% | 1.2 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Career by season · totals
| Window | GP | Tgt | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD | Tgt share | WOPR | RZ tgt | Snap% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | – | 22% | 1 |
| 2025 | 16 | 74 | 49 | 587 | 5 | 14% | 6 | 10 | 54% | 138 |
| 2024 | 2 | 15 | 9 | 91 | 0 | 19% | 1 | 2 | 34% | 18 |
| 2023 | 13 | 101 | 51 | 574 | 4 | 25% | 8 | 12 | 89% | 135 |
| 2022 | 12 | 107 | 67 | 709 | 3 | 24% | 7 | 12 | 91% | 156 |
| 2021 | 16 | 146 | 91 | 1,008 | 6 | 26% | 10 | 18 | 80% | 228 |
| 2020 | 16 | 100 | 58 | 769 | 8 | 27% | 11 | 11 | 78% | 183 |
| 2019 | 14 | 71 | 46 | 584 | 7 | 18% | 6 | 13 | 58% | 146 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Injury history
18 injury entries across 8 seasons · 7 weeks ruled out or doubtful · most often ankle
Model track record
out-of-sample, 2019 onwards| Market | Graded | In band | Avg miss | vs form |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receptions | 95 | 85% | 1.7 | +0.1 |
| Receiving yards | 95 | 77% | 26.6 | +1.5 |
| Rush + rec yards | 95 | 75% | 28.0 | +0.3 |
| Anytime TD | 95 | 28% vs 29% | 0.4 | +0.0 |
| First TD scorer | 95 | 6% vs 2% | 0.1 | -0.0 |
| Longest reception | 91 | 77% | 11.9 | +0.3 |
| Longest rush | 6 | 67% | 9.9 | +9.1 |
Out-of-sample: each prediction came from a model trained only on earlier seasons. In band should sit near 80% where a band exists — that is the calibration claim, checkable here. It is tinted only when it strays further than sampling noise explains, which for one player is roughly ±7 points. vs form is how much closer the model landed than guessing his recent average. This grades the model against RESULTS, not against a betting line.
Last 10 games
| Game | Opp | Snap% | Tgt | Rec | RecYd | Car | RushYd | PassYd | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 wk 2 |  TEN | 22% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 18 |  LV | 81% | 6 | 3 | 64 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 17 |  DEN | 60% | 3 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 16 | TEN | 53% | 3 | 3 | 22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 14 |  HOU | 34% | 2 | 1 | 35 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 13 |  DAL | 44% | 2 | 2 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2025 wk 12 |  IND | 35% | 1 | 1 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 11 | DEN | 43% | 4 | 4 | 40 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 9 |  BUF | 43% | 4 | 2 | 73 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 8 |  WAS | 38% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |