Josh Jacobs
RB
- Game
- 2026 wk 4
- Total
- 38.5
- Implied team total
- 21.0
- Depth
- #4
- Recent snaps
- 51%
28 yrs · 5′10″, 223 lb · Alabama · 2019 rd 1 pk 24
Projections
| Market | Projection | Likely range | Fair odds | Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing | ||||
| Rushing yards | 34.5 | 5.9 – 69.5 | – | Solid |
| Rush attempts | 9.7 | 1.0 – 17.1 | – | Solid |
| Longest rush | 10.6 | 4.2 – 18.4 | – | Solid |
| Receiving | ||||
| Receiving yards | 8.4 | 0.0 – 25.0 | – | Solid |
| Receptions | 1.4 | 0.0 – 3.3 | – | Solid |
| Longest reception | 10.7 | 2.1 – 23.5 | – | Solid |
| Rush + rec yards | 43.0 | 7.9 – 81.6 | – | Solid |
| Touchdowns | ||||
| Anytime TD | 21.2% | no range | +372 | Solid |
| First TD scorer | 6.6% | no range | +1421 | Solid |
Form
| Window | GP | Car | Rush yd | Rush TD | Tgt | Rec | Rec yd | RZ tch | Snap% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 3 | 3 | 11.7 | 31.3 | 0.00 | 2.0 | 1.3 | 5.0 | 4.67 | 43% | 4.3 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 13.4 | 50.6 | 0.40 | 2.2 | 1.6 | 8.0 | 3.80 | 51% | 10.7 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 14.2 | 57.0 | 0.50 | 2.7 | 2.1 | 10.6 | 3.30 | 52% | 12.1 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Career by season · totals
| Window | GP | Car | Rush yd | Rush TD | Tgt | Rec | Rec yd | RZ tch | Snap% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 15 | 234 | 929 | 13 | 44 | 36 | 282 | 58 | 59% | 237 |
| 2024 | 17 | 301 | 1,329 | 15 | 43 | 36 | 342 | 65 | 63% | 293 |
| 2023 | 13 | 233 | 805 | 6 | 54 | 37 | 296 | 45 | 76% | 181 |
| 2022 | 17 | 340 | 1,653 | 12 | 64 | 53 | 400 | 48 | 74% | 328 |
| 2021 | 15 | 217 | 872 | 9 | 64 | 54 | 348 | 44 | 63% | 226 |
| 2020 | 15 | 273 | 1,065 | 12 | 45 | 33 | 238 | 68 | 61% | 231 |
| 2019 | 13 | 242 | 1,150 | 7 | 27 | 20 | 166 | 45 | 56% | 192 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Injury history
15 injury entries across 7 seasons · 7 weeks ruled out or doubtful · most often ankle
Model track record
out-of-sample, 2019 onwards| Market | Graded | In band | Avg miss | vs form |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing yards | 108 | 81% | 28.4 | +1.5 |
| Receptions | 108 | 89% | 1.6 | +0.0 |
| Receiving yards | 108 | 87% | 14.1 | +1.5 |
| Rush attempts | 108 | 76% | 5.1 | +0.4 |
| Rush + rec yards | 108 | 76% | 31.5 | +1.2 |
| Anytime TD | 108 | 49% vs 50% | 0.5 | -0.0 |
| First TD scorer | 108 | 12% vs 11% | 0.2 | +0.0 |
| Longest rush | 108 | 79% | 8.6 | +1.2 |
| Longest reception | 94 | 81% | 6.4 | +1.0 |
Out-of-sample: each prediction came from a model trained only on earlier seasons. In band should sit near 80% where a band exists — that is the calibration claim, checkable here. It is tinted only when it strays further than sampling noise explains, which for one player is roughly ±7 points. vs form is how much closer the model landed than guessing his recent average. This grades the model against RESULTS, not against a betting line.
Last 10 games
| Game | Opp | Snap% | Tgt | Rec | RecYd | Car | RushYd | PassYd | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 wk 19 |  CHI | 63% | 3 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 17 |  BAL | 28% | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 16 | CHI | 39% | 2 | 2 | 12 | 12 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 15 |  DEN | 55% | 3 | 2 | 19 | 12 | 73 | 0 | 2 |
| 2025 wk 14 | CHI | 72% | 2 | 2 | 6 | 20 | 86 | 0 | 1 |
| 2025 wk 13 |  DET | 54% | 1 | 1 | 8 | 17 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 11 |  NYG | 22% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 10 |  PHI | 74% | 6 | 5 | 33 | 21 | 74 | 0 | 1 |
| 2025 wk 9 |  CAR | 58% | 5 | 4 | 13 | 17 | 87 | 0 | 1 |
| 2025 wk 8 |  PIT | 53% | 3 | 3 | 12 | 13 | 33 | 0 | 1 |