NFL Analytics Dashboard2026 · Week 4
Oct 1, 7:05 PM EDT
Slate

Reggie Gilliam

RB
54% to playdepth unsupported
Game
2026 wk 4
Total
48.5
Implied team total
21.0
Depth
#1
Recent snaps
20%

29 yrs · 6′1″, 255 lb · Toledo

Projections

MarketProjectionLikely rangeFair oddsEvidence
Rushing
Rushing yards2.90.0 – 4.4–Solid
Rush attempts0.40.0 – 2.6–Solid
Longest rush6.50.0 – 15.2–Solid
Receiving
Receiving yards8.00.0 – 23.4–Solid
Receptions1.10.0 – 2.5–Solid
Longest reception11.12.8 – 26.2–Solid
Rush + rec yards10.90.0 – 36.3–Solid
Touchdowns
Anytime TD6.9%no range+1339Solid
First TD scorer0.9%no range+10630Solid

Form

WindowGPCarRush ydRush TDTgtRecRec ydRZ tchSnap%PPR
Last 330.71.30.001.00.78.71.0022%1.7
Last 550.40.80.000.60.45.21.0020%1.0
Last 10100.20.40.000.40.32.81.0022%0.6
2026 season10.00.00.002.01.04.0–36%1.4

Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.

Career by season · totals

WindowGPCarRush ydRush TDTgtRecRec ydRZ tchSnap%PPR
20261000214–36%1
2025112402224220%5
20247370000121%1
20235000113–9%1
2022700010869222%21
202183305323319%6
202040002216111%10

Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.

Injury history

5 injury entries across 4 seasons · 4 weeks ruled out or doubtful · most often ankle

2024Hip×2
2022AnkleIllness
2021Ankle×2
2020Knee×2

Model track record

out-of-sample, 2019 onwards
MarketGradedIn bandAvg missvs form
Anytime TD467% vs 4%0.1-0.0
Rushing yards4696%2.3-1.8
Receptions46100%0.5-0.1
Receiving yards4696%4.8-1.0
Rush attempts4696%0.7-0.4
Rush + rec yards4698%7.3-3.2
First TD scorer392% vs 5%0.1+0.0
Longest reception1493%4.8+0.9
Longest rush5100%3.0-2.5

Out-of-sample: each prediction came from a model trained only on earlier seasons. In band should sit near 80% where a band exists — that is the calibration claim, checkable here. It is tinted only when it strays further than sampling noise explains, which for one player is roughly ±7 points. vs form is how much closer the model landed than guessing his recent average. This grades the model against RESULTS, not against a betting line.

Last 10 games

GameOppSnap%TgtRecRecYdCarRushYdPassYdTD
2026 wk 2PIT36%2140000
2025 wk 18NYJ20%11222400
2025 wk 17PHI9%0000000
2025 wk 15NE11%0000000
2025 wk 14CIN23%0000000
2025 wk 13PIT12%0000000
2025 wk 12HOU17%1120000
2025 wk 11TB21%0000000
2025 wk 9KC26%0000000
2025 wk 8CAR41%0000000