Jonathan Taylor
RB
- Game
- 2026 wk 4
- Total
- 47.5
- Implied team total
- 25.5
- Depth
- #1
- Recent snaps
- 82%
27 yrs · 5′10″, 226 lb · Wisconsin · 2020 rd 2 pk 41
Projections
| Market | Projection | Likely range | Fair odds | Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing | ||||
| Rushing yards | 88.8 | 27.1 – 122.9 | – | Solid |
| Rush attempts | 20.7 | 1.0 – 27.8 | – | Solid |
| Longest rush | 24.1 | 7.9 – 45.8 | – | Solid |
| Receiving | ||||
| Receiving yards | 20.4 | 0.0 – 43.6 | – | Solid |
| Receptions | 2.7 | 0.0 – 5.6 | – | Solid |
| Longest reception | 12.1 | 2.2 – 26.7 | – | Solid |
| Rush + rec yards | 109.2 | 41.3 – 143.3 | – | Solid |
| Touchdowns | ||||
| Anytime TD | 59.3% | no range | -146 | Solid |
| First TD scorer | 13.6% | no range | +637 | Solid |
Form
| Window | GP | Car | Rush yd | Rush TD | Tgt | Rec | Rec yd | RZ tch | Snap% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 3 | 3 | 22.0 | 86.0 | 1.33 | 3.7 | 3.0 | 22.3 | 4.33 | 89% | 21.2 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 20.2 | 70.8 | 1.00 | 3.8 | 2.8 | 18.8 | 4.20 | 82% | 17.4 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 20.0 | 70.4 | 0.70 | 3.4 | 2.5 | 18.5 | 3.60 | 84% | 15.2 |
| 2026 season | 3 | 22.0 | 86.0 | 1.33 | 3.7 | 3.0 | 22.3 | 4.33 | 89% | 21.2 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Career by season · totals
| Window | GP | Car | Rush yd | Rush TD | Tgt | Rec | Rec yd | RZ tch | Snap% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 3 | 66 | 258 | 4 | 11 | 9 | 67 | 13 | 89% | 64 |
| 2025 | 17 | 323 | 1,585 | 18 | 55 | 46 | 378 | 76 | 83% | 362 |
| 2024 | 14 | 303 | 1,431 | 11 | 31 | 18 | 136 | 63 | 80% | 245 |
| 2023 | 10 | 169 | 741 | 7 | 23 | 19 | 153 | 38 | 59% | 156 |
| 2022 | 11 | 192 | 861 | 4 | 40 | 28 | 143 | 37 | 71% | 146 |
| 2021 | 17 | 332 | 1,811 | 18 | 51 | 40 | 360 | 93 | 69% | 373 |
| 2020 | 15 | 232 | 1,169 | 11 | 39 | 36 | 299 | 53 | 51% | 253 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Injury history
5 injury entries across 4 seasons · 8 weeks ruled out or doubtful · most often ankle
Model track record
out-of-sample, 2019 onwards| Market | Graded | In band | Avg miss | vs form |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing yards | 85 | 72% | 36.5 | +5.1 |
| Receptions | 85 | 91% | 1.3 | +0.0 |
| Receiving yards | 85 | 89% | 13.9 | +0.2 |
| Rush attempts | 85 | 76% | 5.5 | +0.2 |
| Rush + rec yards | 85 | 69% | 40.0 | +2.5 |
| Anytime TD | 85 | 48% vs 60% | 0.5 | -0.0 |
| First TD scorer | 85 | 13% vs 26% | 0.3 | +0.1 |
| Longest rush | 84 | 76% | 13.2 | +2.9 |
| Longest reception | 74 | 82% | 8.1 | +1.0 |
Out-of-sample: each prediction came from a model trained only on earlier seasons. In band should sit near 80% where a band exists — that is the calibration claim, checkable here. It is tinted only when it strays further than sampling noise explains, which for one player is roughly ±7 points. vs form is how much closer the model landed than guessing his recent average. This grades the model against RESULTS, not against a betting line.
Last 10 games
| Game | Opp | Snap% | Tgt | Rec | RecYd | Car | RushYd | PassYd | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 wk 3 |  HOU | 85% | 3 | 2 | 4 | 23 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026 wk 2 |  KC | 94% | 4 | 4 | 40 | 24 | 92 | 0 | 2 |
| 2026 wk 1 |  BAL | 89% | 4 | 3 | 23 | 19 | 98 | 0 | 2 |
| 2025 wk 18 | HOU | 52% | 2 | 2 | 13 | 14 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 17 |  JAX | 89% | 6 | 3 | 14 | 21 | 70 | 0 | 1 |
| 2025 wk 16 |  SF | 88% | 3 | 3 | 33 | 16 | 46 | 0 | 1 |
| 2025 wk 15 |  SEA | 85% | 4 | 3 | 14 | 25 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 14 | JAX | 74% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 74 | 0 | 1 |
| 2025 wk 13 | HOU | 98% | 5 | 3 | 36 | 21 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 12 | KC | 90% | 3 | 2 | 8 | 16 | 58 | 0 | 0 |