NFL Analytics Dashboard2026 · Week 4
Oct 1, 7:05 PM EDT
Slate

Jordan Love

QB
90% to play
Game
2026 wk 4
Total
38.5
Implied team total
21.0
Depth
#1
Recent snaps
87%

27 yrs · 6′4″, 219 lb · Utah State · 2020 rd 1 pk 26

Projections

MarketProjectionLikely rangeFair oddsEvidence
Passing
Passing yards237.2118.3 – 321.7–Solid
Passing TDs1.40.0 – 2.8–Solid
Completions20.912.7 – 28.2–Solid
Pass attempts31.318.3 – 43.0–Solid
Interceptions0.70.0 – 2.0–Solid
Pass + rush yards243.8133.9 – 336.0–Solid
Longest completion40.517.6 – 60.9–Solid
Rushing
Rushing yards6.70.0 – 23.3–Solid
Rush attempts2.00.0 – 4.5–Solid
Longest rush7.61.0 – 16.9–Solid
Touchdowns
Anytime TD8.0%no range+1148Solid
First TD scorer1.5%no range+6787Solid

Form

WindowGPAttCmpPass ydPass TDINTCarRush ydSackedPPR
Last 3341.321.7281.32.000.670.70.02.6717.3
Last 5536.619.4248.82.000.401.03.61.8017.1
Last 101032.318.3230.12.000.501.97.21.6016.9
2026 season341.321.7281.32.000.670.70.02.6717.3

Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.

Career by season · totals

WindowGPAttCmpPass ydPass TDINTCarRush ydSackedPPR
20263124658446220852
2025154392913,3812364719921235
2024154252683,3892511258314234
2023175793724,15932115024730319
202242114195101-1012
202166236411231227321

Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.

Injury history

3 injury entries across 2 seasons · 1 week ruled out or doubtful · most often knee

2025Shoulder
2024Knee×3Groin

Model track record

out-of-sample, 2019 onwards
MarketGradedIn bandAvg missvs form
Passing yards6185%51.5+9.0
Passing TDs6184%1.0+0.0
Completions6187%4.4+0.7
Rushing yards6172%9.6-0.1
Pass attempts6182%6.5+1.6
Interceptions6190%0.7-0.0
Pass + rush yards6185%53.5+9.2
Rush attempts6193%1.5+0.0
Anytime TD6112% vs 8%0.2-0.0
First TD scorer592% vs 0%0.0-0.0
Longest completion5975%11.9+1.4
Longest rush4676%6.2+0.5

Out-of-sample: each prediction came from a model trained only on earlier seasons. In band should sit near 80% where a band exists — that is the calibration claim, checkable here. It is tinted only when it strays further than sampling noise explains, which for one player is roughly ±7 points. vs form is how much closer the model landed than guessing his recent average. This grades the model against RESULTS, not against a betting line.

Last 10 games

GameOppSnap%TgtRecRecYdCarRushYdPassYdTD
2026 wk 3ATL100%000103122
2026 wk 2NYJ100%000001452
2026 wk 1MIN100%000103872
2025 wk 19CHI100%0001113234
2025 wk 16CHI36%00027770
2025 wk 15DEN100%0003292761
2025 wk 14CHI100%0001-12343
2025 wk 13DET100%000542344
2025 wk 12MIN91%0003151390
2025 wk 11NYG87%000271742