NFL Analytics Dashboard2026 · Week 4
Oct 1, 7:05 PM EDT
Slate

D'Andre Swift

RB
97% to play
Game
2026 wk 4
Total
43.5
Implied team total
23.5
Depth
#1
Recent snaps
61%

27 yrs · 5′8″, 204 lb · Georgia · 2020 rd 2 pk 35

Projections

MarketProjectionLikely rangeFair oddsEvidence
Rushing
Rushing yards75.624.9 – 108.0–Solid
Rush attempts16.81.0 – 23.2–Solid
Longest rush17.07.8 – 32.1–Solid
Receiving
Receiving yards14.20.0 – 34.7–Solid
Receptions2.00.0 – 4.5–Solid
Longest reception11.82.3 – 28.9–Solid
Rush + rec yards89.837.4 – 126.9–Solid
Touchdowns
Anytime TD54.3%no range-119Solid
First TD scorer16.5%no range+507Likely too high

Form

WindowGPCarRush ydRush TDTgtRecRec ydRZ tchSnap%PPR
Last 3318.084.31.003.02.722.75.0065%18.7
Last 5517.276.60.802.22.021.24.4061%16.2
Last 101014.969.60.802.31.916.83.4059%15.1
2026 season318.084.31.003.02.722.75.0065%18.7

Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.

Career by season · totals

WindowGPCarRush ydRush TDTgtRecRec ydRZ tchSnap%PPR
2026354253398681565%56
2025162231,087948342994158%229
202417253959652423863267%215
2023162291,049549392144358%199
20221499542570483893942%191
202113151617578624523166%209
202013114521857463572948%190

Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.

Injury history

12 injury entries across 6 seasons · 7 weeks ruled out or doubtful · most often groin

2025Groin×5HipQuadricep
2024Groin×2Quadricep
2023Illness
2022Ankle×3Shoulder×3
2021Groin×7Shoulder×4
2020Concussion×2Illness×2

Model track record

out-of-sample, 2019 onwards
MarketGradedIn bandAvg missvs form
Rushing yards9274%28.0+2.6
Receptions9285%1.4+0.0
Receiving yards9285%14.9+2.1
Rush attempts9289%3.9-0.1
Rush + rec yards9277%30.3+3.2
Anytime TD9238% vs 47%0.5+0.0
First TD scorer9210% vs 9%0.2-0.0
Longest rush9180%8.6+1.0
Longest reception8581%7.7+1.5

Out-of-sample: each prediction came from a model trained only on earlier seasons. In band should sit near 80% where a band exists — that is the calibration claim, checkable here. It is tinted only when it strays further than sampling noise explains, which for one player is roughly ±7 points. vs form is how much closer the model landed than guessing his recent average. This grades the model against RESULTS, not against a betting line.

Last 10 games

GameOppSnap%TgtRecRecYdCarRushYdPassYdTD
2026 wk 3PHI69%324208400
2026 wk 2MIN68%5554164500
2026 wk 1CAR57%11101812403
2025 wk 20LA62%000197600
2025 wk 19GB50%2238135401
2025 wk 18DET58%218104000
2025 wk 17SF59%322595402
2025 wk 16GB55%2212135800
2025 wk 15CLE56%11-2189802
2025 wk 14GB57%4319136300