CeeDee Lamb
WR- Game
- 2026 wk 4
- Total
- 48.5
- Implied team total
- 22.8
- Depth
- #1
- Recent snaps
- 74%
27 yrs · 6′2″, 198 lb · Oklahoma · 2020 rd 1 pk 17
Projections
| Market | Projection | Likely range | Fair odds | Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing | ||||
| Longest rush | 6.9 | 0.0 – 15.9 | – | Solid |
| Receiving | ||||
| Receiving yards | 63.3 | 17.0 – 126.6 | – | Solid |
| Receptions | 4.9 | 1.0 – 7.4 | – | Solid |
| Longest reception | 25.7 | 9.6 – 46.7 | – | Solid |
| Rush + rec yards | 60.2 | 14.3 – 117.4 | – | Solid |
| Touchdowns | ||||
| Anytime TD | 27.0% | no range | +270 | Solid |
| First TD scorer | 4.4% | no range | +2155 | Solid |
Form
| Window | GP | Tgt | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD | Tgt share | WOPR | RZ tgt | Snap% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 3 | 3 | 8.3 | 6.7 | 103.0 | 1.00 | 25% | 0.65 | 1.33 | 79% | 23.6 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 7.2 | 5.2 | 71.8 | 0.60 | 22% | 0.55 | 1.33 | 74% | 16.4 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 8.1 | 5.5 | 82.9 | 0.40 | 23% | 0.57 | 1.63 | 75% | 16.4 |
| 2026 season | 3 | 8.3 | 6.7 | 103.0 | 1.00 | 25% | 0.65 | 1.33 | 79% | 23.6 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Career by season · totals
| Window | GP | Tgt | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD | Tgt share | WOPR | RZ tgt | Snap% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 3 | 25 | 20 | 309 | 3 | 25% | 2 | 4 | 79% | 71 |
| 2025 | 13 | 117 | 75 | 1,077 | 3 | 25% | 8 | 17 | 78% | 201 |
| 2024 | 15 | 152 | 101 | 1,194 | 6 | 28% | 9 | 20 | 80% | 263 |
| 2023 | 17 | 181 | 135 | 1,749 | 12 | 29% | 12 | 33 | 84% | 403 |
| 2022 | 17 | 156 | 107 | 1,359 | 9 | 29% | 12 | 15 | 88% | 302 |
| 2021 | 16 | 120 | 79 | 1,102 | 6 | 20% | 8 | 12 | 77% | 233 |
| 2020 | 16 | 111 | 74 | 935 | 5 | 18% | 7 | 11 | 63% | 218 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Injury history
7 injury entries across 4 seasons · 4 weeks ruled out or doubtful · most often ankle
Model track record
out-of-sample, 2019 onwards| Market | Graded | In band | Avg miss | vs form |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receptions | 98 | 76% | 2.2 | +0.1 |
| Receiving yards | 98 | 74% | 31.4 | +3.4 |
| Rush + rec yards | 98 | 76% | 32.3 | +3.8 |
| Anytime TD | 98 | 33% vs 36% | 0.4 | -0.0 |
| First TD scorer | 98 | 7% vs 13% | 0.2 | +0.0 |
| Longest reception | 97 | 73% | 10.6 | +0.7 |
| Longest rush | 48 | 90% | 5.9 | +1.2 |
Out-of-sample: each prediction came from a model trained only on earlier seasons. In band should sit near 80% where a band exists — that is the calibration claim, checkable here. It is tinted only when it strays further than sampling noise explains, which for one player is roughly ±7 points. vs form is how much closer the model landed than guessing his recent average. This grades the model against RESULTS, not against a betting line.
Last 10 games
| Game | Opp | Snap% | Tgt | Rec | RecYd | Car | RushYd | PassYd | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 wk 3 | 82% | 8 | 7 | 112 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 2026 wk 2 | 75% | 9 | 8 | 153 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| 2026 wk 1 | 81% | 8 | 5 | 44 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 2025 wk 18 | 45% | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 2025 wk 17 | 87% | 10 | 5 | 46 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 2025 wk 16 | 86% | 7 | 6 | 51 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 2025 wk 15 | 86% | 10 | 6 | 111 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 2025 wk 14 | 46% | 8 | 6 | 121 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 2025 wk 13 | 81% | 9 | 7 | 112 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 2025 wk 12 | 85% | 11 | 4 | 75 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |