NFL Analytics Dashboard2026 · Week 4
Oct 1, 7:05 PM EDT
Slate

CeeDee Lamb

WR
97% to play
Game
2026 wk 4
Total
48.5
Implied team total
22.8
Depth
#1
Recent snaps
74%

27 yrs · 6′2″, 198 lb · Oklahoma · 2020 rd 1 pk 17

Projections

MarketProjectionLikely rangeFair oddsEvidence
Rushing
Longest rush6.90.0 – 15.9–Solid
Receiving
Receiving yards63.317.0 – 126.6–Solid
Receptions4.91.0 – 7.4–Solid
Longest reception25.79.6 – 46.7–Solid
Rush + rec yards60.214.3 – 117.4–Solid
Touchdowns
Anytime TD27.0%no range+270Solid
First TD scorer4.4%no range+2155Solid

Form

WindowGPTgtRecRec ydRec TDTgt shareWOPRRZ tgtSnap%PPR
Last 338.36.7103.01.0025%0.651.3379%23.6
Last 557.25.271.80.6022%0.551.3374%16.4
Last 10108.15.582.90.4023%0.571.6375%16.4
2026 season38.36.7103.01.0025%0.651.3379%23.6

Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.

Career by season · totals

WindowGPTgtRecRec ydRec TDTgt shareWOPRRZ tgtSnap%PPR
202632520309325%2479%71
202513117751,077325%81778%201
2024151521011,194628%92080%263
2023171811351,7491229%123384%403
2022171561071,359929%121588%302
202116120791,102620%81277%233
20201611174935518%71163%218

Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.

Injury history

7 injury entries across 4 seasons · 4 weeks ruled out or doubtful · most often ankle

2025Ankle×3
2024BackShoulder
2022GroinHip
2021AnkleConcussion

Model track record

out-of-sample, 2019 onwards
MarketGradedIn bandAvg missvs form
Receptions9876%2.2+0.1
Receiving yards9874%31.4+3.4
Rush + rec yards9876%32.3+3.8
Anytime TD9833% vs 36%0.4-0.0
First TD scorer987% vs 13%0.2+0.0
Longest reception9773%10.6+0.7
Longest rush4890%5.9+1.2

Out-of-sample: each prediction came from a model trained only on earlier seasons. In band should sit near 80% where a band exists — that is the calibration claim, checkable here. It is tinted only when it strays further than sampling noise explains, which for one player is roughly ±7 points. vs form is how much closer the model landed than guessing his recent average. This grades the model against RESULTS, not against a betting line.

Last 10 games

GameOppSnap%TgtRecRecYdCarRushYdPassYdTD
2026 wk 3BAL82%871120000
2026 wk 2WAS75%981530002
2026 wk 1NYG81%85441001
2025 wk 18NYG45%1140000
2025 wk 17WAS87%105460000
2025 wk 16LAC86%76510000
2025 wk 15MIN86%1061110000
2025 wk 14DET46%861210000
2025 wk 13KC81%971120001
2025 wk 12PHI85%114750000