Jerry Jeudy
WR
- Game
- 2026 wk 4
- Total
- 38.5
- Implied team total
- 18.0
- Depth
- #3
- Recent snaps
- 75%
27 yrs · 6′1″, 195 lb · Alabama · 2020 rd 1 pk 15
Projections
| Market | Projection | Likely range | Line | Price | P(over) | Value | Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing | |||||||
| Longest rush | 5.9 | 0.0 – 16.4 | – | – | – | – | Solid |
| Receiving | |||||||
| Receiving yards | 18.3 | 0.0 – 60.9 | 14.5 | -117 / -107DK | 58% | +6.8%over | Solid |
| Receptions | 1.9 | 0.0 – 4.1 | 1.5 | +116 / -149DK | 46% | no bet | Solid |
| Longest reception | 18.5 | 5.9 – 35.1 | 11.5 | -115 / -113DK | 66% | +23.8%over | Solid |
| Rush + rec yards | 25.7 | 0.0 – 67.1 | – | – | – | – | Solid |
| Touchdowns | |||||||
| Anytime TD | 9.2% | no range | yes | +900 / –DK | – | no bet | Solid |
| First TD scorer | 2.5% | no range | yes | +3500 / –DK | – | no bet | Solid |
Form
| Window | GP | Tgt | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD | Tgt share | WOPR | RZ tgt | Snap% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 3 | 3 | 3.7 | 1.3 | 14.3 | 0.00 | 17% | 0.41 | – | 70% | 2.9 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 4.4 | 2.4 | 21.8 | 0.00 | 19% | 0.52 | – | 75% | 4.7 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 4.5 | 2.4 | 29.3 | 0.10 | 18% | 0.49 | 1.00 | 79% | 5.8 |
| 2026 season | 2 | 2.5 | 1.0 | 13.0 | 0.00 | 11% | 0.26 | – | 61% | 2.3 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Career by season · totals
| Window | GP | Tgt | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD | Tgt share | WOPR | RZ tgt | Snap% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 26 | 0 | 11% | 1 | – | 61% | 5 |
| 2025 | 17 | 106 | 50 | 602 | 2 | 21% | 9 | 9 | 85% | 121 |
| 2024 | 17 | 145 | 90 | 1,229 | 4 | 23% | 10 | 17 | 90% | 241 |
| 2023 | 16 | 87 | 54 | 758 | 2 | 20% | 9 | 11 | 66% | 142 |
| 2022 | 15 | 100 | 67 | 972 | 6 | 21% | 8 | 11 | 71% | 204 |
| 2021 | 10 | 56 | 38 | 467 | 0 | 20% | 5 | 3 | 66% | 85 |
| 2020 | 16 | 113 | 52 | 856 | 3 | 20% | 8 | 10 | 74% | 158 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Injury history
8 injury entries across 3 seasons · 2 weeks ruled out or doubtful · most often ankle
Model track record
out-of-sample, 2019 onwards| Market | Graded | In band | Avg miss | vs form |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receptions | 91 | 80% | 1.9 | -0.0 |
| Receiving yards | 91 | 74% | 29.1 | +1.1 |
| Rush + rec yards | 91 | 79% | 28.7 | +2.3 |
| Anytime TD | 91 | 23% vs 16% | 0.3 | -0.0 |
| First TD scorer | 91 | 5% vs 1% | 0.1 | -0.0 |
| Longest reception | 87 | 78% | 12.0 | +2.6 |
| Longest rush | 5 | 100% | 5.0 | -2.0 |
Out-of-sample: each prediction came from a model trained only on earlier seasons. In band should sit near 80% where a band exists — that is the calibration claim, checkable here. It is tinted only when it strays further than sampling noise explains, which for one player is roughly ±7 points. vs form is how much closer the model landed than guessing his recent average. This grades the model against RESULTS, not against a betting line.
Last 10 games
| Game | Opp | Snap% | Tgt | Rec | RecYd | Car | RushYd | PassYd | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 wk 2 |  TB | 59% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026 wk 1 |  JAX | 63% | 4 | 2 | 26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 18 |  CIN | 88% | 6 | 2 | 17 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 17 |  PIT | 94% | 7 | 5 | 54 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 16 |  BUF | 73% | 4 | 3 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 15 |  CHI | 96% | 4 | 2 | 22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 14 |  TEN | 88% | 5 | 3 | 76 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2025 wk 13 |  SF | 84% | 4 | 3 | 26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 12 |  LV | 65% | 3 | 1 | 39 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 11 |  BAL | 82% | 7 | 3 | 21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |