Tee Higgins
WR
- Game
- 2026 wk 4
- Total
- 51.5
- Implied team total
- 27.0
- Depth
- #2
- Recent snaps
- 76%
27 yrs · 6′4″, 219 lb · Clemson · 2020 rd 2 pk 33
Projections
| Market | Projection | Likely range | Fair odds | Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing | ||||
| Longest rush | 6.1 | 0.0 – 14.0 | – | Little to go on |
| Receiving | ||||
| Receiving yards | 59.1 | 14.5 – 109.7 | – | Solid |
| Receptions | 4.6 | 1.0 – 7.2 | – | Solid |
| Longest reception | 24.9 | 8.5 – 41.3 | – | Solid |
| Rush + rec yards | 54.3 | 10.7 – 112.3 | – | Solid |
| Touchdowns | ||||
| Anytime TD | 33.5% | no range | +199 | Solid |
| First TD scorer | 8.5% | no range | +1082 | Solid |
Form
| Window | GP | Tgt | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD | Tgt share | WOPR | RZ tgt | Snap% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 3 | 3 | 7.7 | 4.7 | 81.3 | 0.33 | 23% | 0.67 | 1.00 | 79% | 14.8 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 7.4 | 4.8 | 74.0 | 0.40 | 22% | 0.64 | 1.67 | 76% | 14.6 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 7.4 | 4.8 | 73.0 | 0.80 | 21% | 0.58 | 1.43 | 77% | 17.1 |
| 2026 season | 3 | 7.7 | 4.7 | 81.3 | 0.33 | 23% | 0.67 | 1.00 | 79% | 14.8 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Career by season · totals
| Window | GP | Tgt | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD | Tgt share | WOPR | RZ tgt | Snap% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 3 | 23 | 14 | 244 | 1 | 23% | 2 | 1 | 79% | 44 |
| 2025 | 15 | 98 | 59 | 846 | 11 | 18% | 8 | 16 | 81% | 212 |
| 2024 | 12 | 109 | 73 | 911 | 10 | 26% | 8 | 25 | 79% | 222 |
| 2023 | 12 | 76 | 42 | 656 | 5 | 18% | 6 | 12 | 74% | 138 |
| 2022 | 14 | 109 | 74 | 1,029 | 7 | 21% | 8 | 13 | 78% | 221 |
| 2021 | 14 | 110 | 74 | 1,091 | 6 | 24% | 8 | 14 | 76% | 219 |
| 2020 | 15 | 108 | 67 | 908 | 6 | 22% | 8 | 11 | 78% | 195 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Injury history
12 injury entries across 6 seasons · 12 weeks ruled out or doubtful · most often hamstring
Model track record
out-of-sample, 2019 onwards| Market | Graded | In band | Avg miss | vs form |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receptions | 89 | 81% | 2.1 | +0.1 |
| Receiving yards | 89 | 72% | 33.2 | +1.4 |
| Rush + rec yards | 89 | 72% | 33.5 | +1.3 |
| Anytime TD | 89 | 29% vs 43% | 0.5 | +0.0 |
| First TD scorer | 89 | 7% vs 6% | 0.1 | -0.0 |
| Longest reception | 87 | 82% | 11.1 | +1.5 |
| Longest rush | 4 | 100% | 3.6 | +0.7 |
Out-of-sample: each prediction came from a model trained only on earlier seasons. In band should sit near 80% where a band exists — that is the calibration claim, checkable here. It is tinted only when it strays further than sampling noise explains, which for one player is roughly ±7 points. vs form is how much closer the model landed than guessing his recent average. This grades the model against RESULTS, not against a betting line.
Last 10 games
| Game | Opp | Snap% | Tgt | Rec | RecYd | Car | RushYd | PassYd | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 wk 3 |  PIT | 93% | 7 | 6 | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2026 wk 2 |  HOU | 72% | 10 | 5 | 95 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026 wk 1 |  TB | 72% | 6 | 3 | 59 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 18 |  CLE | 87% | 9 | 6 | 67 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2025 wk 17 |  ARI | 57% | 5 | 4 | 59 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 16 |  MIA | 62% | 3 | 3 | 53 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2025 wk 14 |  BUF | 73% | 11 | 6 | 92 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 2025 wk 12 |  NE | 77% | 6 | 5 | 31 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 11 | PIT | 92% | 8 | 3 | 63 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2025 wk 9 |  CHI | 82% | 9 | 7 | 121 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |