NFL Analytics Dashboard2026 · Week 4
Oct 1, 7:05 PM EDT
Slate

Chuba Hubbard

RB
96% to play
Game
2026 wk 4
Total
51.5
Implied team total
24.0
Depth
#1
Recent snaps
65%

27 yrs · 6′1″, 210 lb · Oklahoma State · 2021 rd 4 pk 126

Projections

MarketProjectionLikely rangeFair oddsEvidence
Rushing
Rushing yards61.917.1 – 103.9–Solid
Rush attempts14.11.0 – 20.7–Solid
Longest rush16.15.6 – 27.5–Solid
Receiving
Receiving yards16.00.0 – 35.9–Solid
Receptions2.50.0 – 4.4–Solid
Longest reception12.41.9 – 24.3–Solid
Rush + rec yards77.921.8 – 129.7–Solid
Touchdowns
Anytime TD43.1%no range+132Solid
First TD scorer7.1%no range+1304Differs from form

Form

WindowGPCarRush ydRush TDTgtRecRec ydRZ tchSnap%PPR
Last 3313.761.30.333.03.025.73.0073%17.7
Last 5511.848.00.603.02.619.42.8065%15.3
Last 10109.740.70.302.62.418.72.2254%11.7
2026 season313.761.30.333.03.025.73.0073%17.7

Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.

Career by season · totals

WindowGPCarRush ydRush TDTgtRecRec ydRZ tchSnap%PPR
202634118419977973%53
202515134511139302232546%125
2024152501,1951054431715777%242
202317238902544392333760%182
20221495466217141711732%90
202116172612537251742742%138

Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.

Injury history

3 injury entries across 3 seasons · 4 weeks ruled out or doubtful · most often calf

2025Calf×3
2024Knee
2022Ankle×3

Model track record

out-of-sample, 2019 onwards
MarketGradedIn bandAvg missvs form
Rushing yards7877%26.0+2.9
Receptions7888%1.3+0.2
Receiving yards7892%11.7+0.6
Rush attempts7877%5.1+0.6
Rush + rec yards7878%27.9+3.4
Anytime TD7827% vs 33%0.4+0.0
First TD scorer787% vs 9%0.1+0.0
Longest rush7591%6.7-0.3
Longest reception5975%6.4+1.2

Out-of-sample: each prediction came from a model trained only on earlier seasons. In band should sit near 80% where a band exists — that is the calibration claim, checkable here. It is tinted only when it strays further than sampling noise explains, which for one player is roughly ±7 points. vs form is how much closer the model landed than guessing his recent average. This grades the model against RESULTS, not against a betting line.

Last 10 games

GameOppSnap%TgtRecRecYdCarRushYdPassYdTD
2026 wk 3CLE84%4428198200
2026 wk 2ATL65%2211125301
2026 wk 1CHI71%3338104902
2025 wk 19LA61%4213134602
2025 wk 18TB45%22751000
2025 wk 17SEA38%33641200
2025 wk 16TB41%11762700
2025 wk 15NO42%11982900
2025 wk 13LA59%2241178301
2025 wk 12SF35%442731600