NFL Analytics Dashboard2026 · Week 4
Oct 1, 7:05 PM EDT
Slate

Dyami Brown

WR
79% to play
Game
2026 wk 4
Total
47.5
Implied team total
22.0
Depth
#4
Recent snaps
32%

26 yrs · 6′0″, 195 lb · North Carolina · 2021 rd 3 pk 82

Projections

MarketProjectionLikely rangeFair oddsEvidence
Rushing
Longest rush6.00.0 – 17.0–Solid
Receiving
Receiving yards15.50.0 – 42.0–Solid
Receptions1.40.0 – 2.9–Solid
Longest reception19.74.8 – 37.7–Solid
Rush + rec yards14.30.0 – 41.0–Solid
Touchdowns
Anytime TD5.5%no range+1717Solid
First TD scorer1.6%no range+5963Solid

Form

WindowGPTgtRecRec ydRec TDTgt shareWOPRRZ tgtSnap%PPR
Last 333.01.37.00.009%0.241.0046%1.4
Last 552.01.05.80.006%0.161.0032%0.9
Last 10102.81.211.70.008%0.231.2538%2.1
2026 season33.01.37.00.009%0.241.0046%1.4

Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.

Career by season · totals

WindowGPTgtRecRec ydRec TDTgt shareWOPRRZ tgtSnap%PPR
20263942109%1146%4
2025113720227110%3944%50
202415403030819%3442%67
202316231216814%2223%35
2022914514325%2–20%33
202110251216508%2346%28

Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.

Injury history

4 injury entries across 4 seasons · 4 weeks ruled out or doubtful · most often knee

2025Shoulder
2024Hamstring
2022Groin×3
2021Knee×4

Model track record

out-of-sample, 2019 onwards
MarketGradedIn bandAvg missvs form
Receptions6495%0.9+0.1
Receiving yards6486%18.5+1.4
Rush + rec yards6483%17.7+2.0
Anytime TD6413% vs 8%0.2-0.0
First TD scorer643% vs 3%0.1-0.0
Longest reception4473%11.8+2.6
Longest rush1191%4.2-0.8

Out-of-sample: each prediction came from a model trained only on earlier seasons. In band should sit near 80% where a band exists — that is the calibration claim, checkable here. It is tinted only when it strays further than sampling noise explains, which for one player is roughly ±7 points. vs form is how much closer the model landed than guessing his recent average. This grades the model against RESULTS, not against a betting line.

Last 10 games

GameOppSnap%TgtRecRecYdCarRushYdPassYdTD
2026 wk 3SEA30%1000000
2026 wk 2DAL55%64210000
2026 wk 1PHI53%2000000
2025 wk 18TEN13%1180000
2025 wk 15NYJ8%0001400
2025 wk 11LAC27%1000000
2025 wk 10HOU37%1000000
2025 wk 9LV60%73251400
2025 wk 7LA30%42500000
2025 wk 6SEA64%52131700