NFL Analytics Dashboard2026 · Week 4
Oct 1, 7:05 PM EDT
Slate

Simi Fehoko

WR
40% to play
Game
2026 wk 4
Total
44.5
Implied team total
23.5
Depth
#5
Recent snaps
8%

28 yrs · 6′4″, 225 lb · Stanford · 2021 rd 5 pk 179

Projections

MarketProjectionLikely rangeFair oddsEvidence
Rushing
Longest rush7.70.0 – 16.3–Little to go on
Receiving
Receiving yards6.30.0 – 13.6–Solid
Receptions1.10.0 – 1.8–Solid
Longest reception13.72.3 – 26.7–Little to go on
Rush + rec yards6.90.0 – 15.0–Solid
Touchdowns
Anytime TD3.0%no range+3179Solid
First TD scorer1.0%no range+9779Solid

Form

WindowGPTgtRecRec ydRec TDTgt shareWOPRRZ tgtSnap%PPR
Last 330.00.00.00.000%0.00–12%0.0
Last 550.00.00.00.000%0.00–8%0.0
Last 10100.10.00.00.000%0.01–7%0.0
2026 season20.00.00.00.000%0.00–4%0.0

Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.

Career by season · totals

WindowGPTgtRecRec ydRec TDTgt shareWOPRRZ tgtSnap%PPR
2026200000%0–4%0
2025700000%0–7%0
2024616610609%1255%17
2023221913%0112%8
20223432404%0–13%5

Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.

Injury history

2 injury entries across 1 season · most often elbow

2024ElbowShoulder

Model track record

out-of-sample, 2019 onwards
MarketGradedIn bandAvg missvs form
Receptions18100%0.8-0.0
Receiving yards18100%11.7+0.2
Rush + rec yards1894%11.4+0.6
Anytime TD187% vs 6%0.1-0.0
First TD scorer142% vs 0%0.0-0.0
Longest reception6100%6.7+0.6

Out-of-sample: each prediction came from a model trained only on earlier seasons. In band should sit near 80% where a band exists — that is the calibration claim, checkable here. It is tinted only when it strays further than sampling noise explains, which for one player is roughly ±7 points. vs form is how much closer the model landed than guessing his recent average. This grades the model against RESULTS, not against a betting line.

Last 10 games

GameOppSnap%TgtRecRecYdCarRushYdPassYdTD
2026 wk 3SF0%0000000
2026 wk 1LAC8%0000000
2025 wk 10SEA28%0000000
2025 wk 9DAL3%0000000
2025 wk 7GB1%0000000
2025 wk 6IND12%0000000
2025 wk 5TEN6%0000000
2025 wk 4SEA0%0000000
2025 wk 3SF0%0000000
2024 wk 9CLE16%1000000