Jack Stoll
TE
- Game
- 2026 wk 4
- Total
- 47.5
- Implied team total
- 25.3
- Recent snaps
- 18%
28 yrs · 6′4″, 247 lb · Nebraska
Projections
| Market | Projection | Likely range | Fair odds | Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receiving | ||||
| Receiving yards | 5.9 | 0.0 – 19.3 | – | Solid |
| Receptions | 1.3 | 0.0 – 1.9 | – | Solid |
| Longest reception | 10.5 | 1.3 – 23.3 | – | Solid |
| Rush + rec yards | 8.2 | 0.0 – 21.0 | – | Solid |
| Touchdowns | ||||
| Anytime TD | 7.4% | no range | +1251 | Solid |
| First TD scorer | 1.8% | no range | +5414 | Solid |
Form
| Window | GP | Tgt | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD | Tgt share | WOPR | RZ tgt | Snap% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 3 | 3 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 3.7 | 0.00 | 4% | 0.05 | – | 22% | 1.0 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 3.6 | 0.00 | 3% | 0.05 | – | 18% | 1.0 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 4.6 | 0.10 | 3% | 0.05 | 1.00 | 24% | 1.7 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Career by season · totals
| Window | GP | Tgt | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD | Tgt share | WOPR | RZ tgt | Snap% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 9 | 11 | 6 | 46 | 1 | 3% | 1 | 1 | 22% | 17 |
| 2024 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 0 | 2% | 0 | – | 44% | 3 |
| 2023 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 38 | 0 | 5% | 0 | 2 | 45% | 9 |
| 2022 | 9 | 14 | 11 | 123 | 0 | 5% | 1 | 1 | 57% | 23 |
| 2021 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 22 | 0 | 4% | 0 | 2 | 43% | 6 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Injury history
1 injury entry across 1 season · most often ankle
2025Ankle
Model track record
out-of-sample, 2019 onwards| Market | Graded | In band | Avg miss | vs form |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receptions | 38 | 100% | 0.6 | +0.1 |
| Receiving yards | 38 | 95% | 6.5 | +0.2 |
| Rush + rec yards | 38 | 97% | 7.0 | -0.3 |
| Anytime TD | 38 | 10% vs 3% | 0.1 | -0.1 |
| First TD scorer | 38 | 2% vs 0% | 0.0 | -0.0 |
| Longest reception | 24 | 92% | 5.0 | -0.5 |
Out-of-sample: each prediction came from a model trained only on earlier seasons. In band should sit near 80% where a band exists — that is the calibration claim, checkable here. It is tinted only when it strays further than sampling noise explains, which for one player is roughly ±7 points. vs form is how much closer the model landed than guessing his recent average. This grades the model against RESULTS, not against a betting line.
Last 10 games
| Game | Opp | Snap% | Tgt | Rec | RecYd | Car | RushYd | PassYd | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 wk 16 |  NYJ | 29% | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 15 |  CAR | 14% | 1 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 14 |  TB | 22% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 12 |  ATL | 11% | 1 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 8 | TB | 12% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 7 |  CHI | 21% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 4 |  BUF | 36% | 1 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 3 |  SEA | 32% | 3 | 2 | 21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2025 wk 1 |  ARI | 24% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2024 wk 9 |  JAX | 39% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |