NFL Analytics Dashboard2026 · Week 4
Oct 1, 7:05 PM EDT
Slate

Tutu Atwell

WR
44% to play
Game
2026 wk 4
Total
43.5
Implied team total
23.3
Depth
#6
Recent snaps
25%

26 yrs · 5′9″, 165 lb · Louisville · 2021 rd 2 pk 57

Projections

MarketProjectionLikely rangeFair oddsEvidence
Rushing
Longest rush6.90.0 – 15.5–Little to go on
Receiving
Receiving yards14.60.0 – 40.1–Solid
Receptions1.30.0 – 2.3–Solid
Longest reception20.14.7 – 37.6–Solid
Rush + rec yards13.90.0 – 38.6–Solid
Touchdowns
Anytime TD5.5%no range+1724Solid
First TD scorer1.2%no range+8534Solid

Form

WindowGPTgtRecRec ydRec TDTgt shareWOPRRZ tgtSnap%PPR
Last 332.00.712.70.006%0.19–17%1.9
Last 552.41.023.80.006%0.191.0025%3.4
Last 10101.80.822.90.105%0.141.0028%3.7
2026 season12.01.019.00.007%0.22–18%2.9

Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.

Career by season · totals

WindowGPTgtRecRec ydRec TDTgt shareWOPRRZ tgtSnap%PPR
20261211907%0–18%3
2025815619215%1132%31
2024156242562014%5343%99
2023146739483314%5673%112
2022123518298111%4245%63
2021600000%0–2%0

Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.

Injury history

3 injury entries across 3 seasons · most often hamstring

2025Hamstring×2
2023Concussion
2021Illness

Model track record

out-of-sample, 2019 onwards
MarketGradedIn bandAvg missvs form
Receptions5789%1.3+0.1
Receiving yards5782%21.7+1.2
Rush + rec yards5779%23.0+1.7
Anytime TD5715% vs 12%0.2-0.0
First TD scorer514% vs 6%0.1+0.0
Longest reception4473%12.7+1.6
Longest rush1173%5.4+3.2

Out-of-sample: each prediction came from a model trained only on earlier seasons. In band should sit near 80% where a band exists — that is the calibration claim, checkable here. It is tinted only when it strays further than sampling noise explains, which for one player is roughly ±7 points. vs form is how much closer the model landed than guessing his recent average. This grades the model against RESULTS, not against a betting line.

Last 10 games

GameOppSnap%TgtRecRecYdCarRushYdPassYdTD
2026 wk 2NYG18%21190000
2025 wk 18ARI13%31190000
2025 wk 17ATL20%1000000
2025 wk 15DET6%2190000
2025 wk 5SF66%42720000
2025 wk 4IND28%21880001
2025 wk 3PHI38%1000000
2025 wk 2TEN43%1000000
2025 wk 1HOU42%1140000
2024 wk 20PHI3%11180000