Tutu Atwell
WR- Game
- 2026 wk 4
- Total
- 43.5
- Implied team total
- 23.3
- Depth
- #6
- Recent snaps
- 25%
26 yrs · 5′9″, 165 lb · Louisville · 2021 rd 2 pk 57
Projections
| Market | Projection | Likely range | Fair odds | Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing | ||||
| Longest rush | 6.9 | 0.0 – 15.5 | – | Little to go on |
| Receiving | ||||
| Receiving yards | 14.6 | 0.0 – 40.1 | – | Solid |
| Receptions | 1.3 | 0.0 – 2.3 | – | Solid |
| Longest reception | 20.1 | 4.7 – 37.6 | – | Solid |
| Rush + rec yards | 13.9 | 0.0 – 38.6 | – | Solid |
| Touchdowns | ||||
| Anytime TD | 5.5% | no range | +1724 | Solid |
| First TD scorer | 1.2% | no range | +8534 | Solid |
Form
| Window | GP | Tgt | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD | Tgt share | WOPR | RZ tgt | Snap% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 3 | 3 | 2.0 | 0.7 | 12.7 | 0.00 | 6% | 0.19 | – | 17% | 1.9 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 2.4 | 1.0 | 23.8 | 0.00 | 6% | 0.19 | 1.00 | 25% | 3.4 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 1.8 | 0.8 | 22.9 | 0.10 | 5% | 0.14 | 1.00 | 28% | 3.7 |
| 2026 season | 1 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 19.0 | 0.00 | 7% | 0.22 | – | 18% | 2.9 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Career by season · totals
| Window | GP | Tgt | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD | Tgt share | WOPR | RZ tgt | Snap% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 19 | 0 | 7% | 0 | – | 18% | 3 |
| 2025 | 8 | 15 | 6 | 192 | 1 | 5% | 1 | 1 | 32% | 31 |
| 2024 | 15 | 62 | 42 | 562 | 0 | 14% | 5 | 3 | 43% | 99 |
| 2023 | 14 | 67 | 39 | 483 | 3 | 14% | 5 | 6 | 73% | 112 |
| 2022 | 12 | 35 | 18 | 298 | 1 | 11% | 4 | 2 | 45% | 63 |
| 2021 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | – | 2% | 0 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Injury history
3 injury entries across 3 seasons · most often hamstring
Model track record
out-of-sample, 2019 onwards| Market | Graded | In band | Avg miss | vs form |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receptions | 57 | 89% | 1.3 | +0.1 |
| Receiving yards | 57 | 82% | 21.7 | +1.2 |
| Rush + rec yards | 57 | 79% | 23.0 | +1.7 |
| Anytime TD | 57 | 15% vs 12% | 0.2 | -0.0 |
| First TD scorer | 51 | 4% vs 6% | 0.1 | +0.0 |
| Longest reception | 44 | 73% | 12.7 | +1.6 |
| Longest rush | 11 | 73% | 5.4 | +3.2 |
Out-of-sample: each prediction came from a model trained only on earlier seasons. In band should sit near 80% where a band exists — that is the calibration claim, checkable here. It is tinted only when it strays further than sampling noise explains, which for one player is roughly ±7 points. vs form is how much closer the model landed than guessing his recent average. This grades the model against RESULTS, not against a betting line.
Last 10 games
| Game | Opp | Snap% | Tgt | Rec | RecYd | Car | RushYd | PassYd | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 wk 2 | 18% | 2 | 1 | 19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 2025 wk 18 | 13% | 3 | 1 | 19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 2025 wk 17 | 20% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 2025 wk 15 | 6% | 2 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 2025 wk 5 | 66% | 4 | 2 | 72 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 2025 wk 4 | 28% | 2 | 1 | 88 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 2025 wk 3 | 38% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 2025 wk 2 | 43% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 2025 wk 1 | 42% | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 2024 wk 20 | 3% | 1 | 1 | 18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |