Kylen Granson
TE
- Game
- 2026 wk 4
- Total
- 42.5
- Implied team total
- 15.5
- Depth
- #4
- Recent snaps
- 27%
28 yrs · 6′3″, 242 lb · SMU · 2021 rd 4 pk 127
Projections
| Market | Projection | Likely range | Fair odds | Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receiving | ||||
| Receiving yards | 8.1 | 0.0 – 15.7 | – | Solid |
| Receptions | 1.3 | 0.0 – 1.9 | – | Solid |
| Longest reception | 11.5 | 2.7 – 24.0 | – | Solid |
| Rush + rec yards | 7.9 | 0.0 – 18.5 | – | Solid |
| Touchdowns | ||||
| Anytime TD | 5.2% | no range | +1837 | Solid |
| First TD scorer | 1.3% | no range | +7533 | Solid |
Form
| Window | GP | Tgt | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD | Tgt share | WOPR | RZ tgt | Snap% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 3 | 3 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 10.0 | 0.00 | 5% | 0.09 | 1.00 | 36% | 2.3 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 6.0 | 0.00 | 3% | 0.06 | 1.00 | 27% | 1.4 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 3.4 | 0.00 | 2% | 0.05 | 1.00 | 23% | 0.8 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Career by season · totals
| Window | GP | Tgt | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD | Tgt share | WOPR | RZ tgt | Snap% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 12 | 9 | 7 | 40 | 0 | 3% | 1 | 1 | 26% | 11 |
| 2024 | 16 | 31 | 14 | 182 | 0 | 7% | 2 | 6 | 41% | 32 |
| 2023 | 15 | 50 | 30 | 368 | 1 | 11% | 4 | 6 | 50% | 73 |
| 2022 | 13 | 40 | 31 | 302 | 0 | 9% | 2 | 3 | 45% | 61 |
| 2021 | 10 | 15 | 11 | 106 | 0 | 5% | 1 | 4 | 23% | 22 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Injury history
4 injury entries across 2 seasons · 5 weeks ruled out or doubtful · most often ankle
Model track record
out-of-sample, 2019 onwards| Market | Graded | In band | Avg miss | vs form |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anytime TD | 66 | 12% vs 2% | 0.1 | -0.1 |
| Receptions | 66 | 88% | 1.0 | -0.0 |
| Receiving yards | 66 | 88% | 14.4 | +0.4 |
| Rush + rec yards | 66 | 86% | 14.0 | +0.8 |
| First TD scorer | 64 | 3% vs 0% | 0.0 | -0.0 |
| Longest reception | 47 | 77% | 7.8 | +2.0 |
Out-of-sample: each prediction came from a model trained only on earlier seasons. In band should sit near 80% where a band exists — that is the calibration claim, checkable here. It is tinted only when it strays further than sampling noise explains, which for one player is roughly ±7 points. vs form is how much closer the model landed than guessing his recent average. This grades the model against RESULTS, not against a betting line.
Last 10 games
| Game | Opp | Snap% | Tgt | Rec | RecYd | Car | RushYd | PassYd | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 wk 18 |  WAS | 77% | 5 | 4 | 30 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 17 |  BUF | 19% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 16 | WAS | 11% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 15 |  LV | 26% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 14 |  LAC | 3% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 11 |  DET | 21% | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 10 |  GB | 27% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 5 |  DEN | 36% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 4 |  TB | 7% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 3 |  LA | 3% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |