Najee Harris
RB
- Game
- 2026 wk 4
- Total
- 44.5
- Implied team total
- 21.0
- Depth
- #2
- Recent snaps
- 20%
28 yrs · 6′1″, 232 lb · Alabama · 2021 rd 1 pk 24
Projections
| Market | Projection | Likely range | Fair odds | Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing | ||||
| Rushing yards | 24.8 | 0.0 – 59.7 | – | Solid |
| Rush attempts | 5.9 | 1.0 – 12.6 | – | Solid |
| Longest rush | 9.3 | 2.4 – 21.1 | – | Solid |
| Receiving | ||||
| Receiving yards | 4.2 | 0.0 – 12.7 | – | Solid |
| Receptions | 0.8 | 0.0 – 2.1 | – | Solid |
| Longest reception | 9.3 | 1.0 – 20.1 | – | Solid |
| Rush + rec yards | 28.9 | 0.0 – 63.3 | – | Solid |
| Touchdowns | ||||
| Anytime TD | 10.2% | no range | +880 | Solid |
| First TD scorer | 1.3% | no range | +7737 | Solid |
Form
| Window | GP | Car | Rush yd | Rush TD | Tgt | Rec | Rec yd | RZ tch | Snap% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 3 | 3 | 6.3 | 28.7 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.50 | 16% | 2.9 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 5.6 | 23.8 | 0.00 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 5.0 | 1.33 | 20% | 3.5 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 7.4 | 30.2 | 0.10 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 10.0 | 2.00 | 30% | 5.9 |
| 2026 season | 2 | 6.5 | 29.0 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.50 | 18% | 2.9 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Career by season · totals
| Window | GP | Car | Rush yd | Rush TD | Tgt | Rec | Rec yd | RZ tch | Snap% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 2 | 13 | 58 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18% | 6 |
| 2025 | 3 | 15 | 61 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 25 | 1 | 22% | 12 |
| 2024 | 17 | 263 | 1,043 | 6 | 48 | 36 | 283 | 55 | 50% | 205 |
| 2023 | 17 | 255 | 1,035 | 8 | 38 | 29 | 170 | 48 | 53% | 196 |
| 2022 | 17 | 272 | 1,034 | 7 | 53 | 41 | 229 | 49 | 66% | 225 |
| 2021 | 17 | 307 | 1,200 | 7 | 94 | 74 | 467 | 43 | 84% | 301 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Injury history
2 injury entries across 2 seasons · most often knee
Model track record
out-of-sample, 2019 onwards| Market | Graded | In band | Avg miss | vs form |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing yards | 74 | 78% | 25.6 | +3.6 |
| Receptions | 74 | 84% | 1.6 | +0.1 |
| Receiving yards | 74 | 89% | 13.1 | +1.3 |
| Rush attempts | 74 | 84% | 4.2 | +0.4 |
| Rush + rec yards | 74 | 84% | 27.7 | +2.9 |
| Anytime TD | 74 | 37% vs 42% | 0.5 | +0.0 |
| First TD scorer | 74 | 10% vs 11% | 0.2 | +0.0 |
| Longest rush | 74 | 86% | 7.0 | -0.0 |
| Longest reception | 61 | 85% | 5.7 | -0.1 |
Out-of-sample: each prediction came from a model trained only on earlier seasons. In band should sit near 80% where a band exists — that is the calibration claim, checkable here. It is tinted only when it strays further than sampling noise explains, which for one player is roughly ±7 points. vs form is how much closer the model landed than guessing his recent average. This grades the model against RESULTS, not against a betting line.
Last 10 games
| Game | Opp | Snap% | Tgt | Rec | RecYd | Car | RushYd | PassYd | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 wk 3 |  TEN | 22% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026 wk 2 |  LA | 14% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 3 |  DEN | 13% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 2 |  LV | 34% | 2 | 2 | 20 | 8 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 1 |  KC | 18% | 1 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 |
| 2024 wk 19 |  BAL | 46% | 3 | 3 | 41 | 6 | 17 | 0 | 0 |
| 2024 wk 18 |  CIN | 49% | 5 | 4 | 20 | 12 | 36 | 0 | 1 |
| 2024 wk 17 | KC | 45% | 4 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 2024 wk 16 | BAL | 28% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 2024 wk 15 |  PHI | 33% | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 0 | 0 |