Kenny Gainwell
RB
- Game
- 2026 wk 4
- Total
- 38.5
- Implied team total
- 17.5
- Depth
- #2
- Recent snaps
- 50%
27 yrs · 5′9″, 200 lb · Memphis · 2021 rd 5 pk 150
Projections
| Market | Projection | Likely range | Fair odds | Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing | ||||
| Rushing yards | 14.7 | 0.0 – 44.2 | – | Solid |
| Rush attempts | 4.0 | 1.0 – 8.6 | – | Solid |
| Longest rush | 7.7 | 1.8 – 17.5 | – | Solid |
| Receiving | ||||
| Receiving yards | 16.5 | 0.0 – 43.7 | – | Solid |
| Receptions | 2.6 | 1.0 – 5.6 | – | Solid |
| Longest reception | 11.6 | 3.2 – 25.6 | – | Solid |
| Rush + rec yards | 31.2 | 5.1 – 83.5 | – | Solid |
| Touchdowns | ||||
| Anytime TD | 13.5% | no range | +639 | Solid |
| First TD scorer | 3.8% | no range | +2507 | Solid |
Form
| Window | GP | Car | Rush yd | Rush TD | Tgt | Rec | Rec yd | RZ tch | Snap% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 3 | 3 | 3.3 | 7.0 | 0.00 | 3.3 | 2.0 | 7.3 | 1.50 | 42% | 3.4 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 4.2 | 10.2 | 0.20 | 5.0 | 3.6 | 22.4 | 1.67 | 50% | 8.1 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 5.9 | 24.2 | 0.20 | 5.3 | 4.1 | 30.0 | 2.63 | 51% | 11.3 |
| 2026 season | 3 | 3.3 | 7.0 | 0.00 | 3.3 | 2.0 | 7.3 | 1.50 | 42% | 3.4 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Career by season · totals
| Window | GP | Car | Rush yd | Rush TD | Tgt | Rec | Rec yd | RZ tch | Snap% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 3 | 10 | 21 | 0 | 10 | 6 | 22 | 3 | 42% | 10 |
| 2025 | 17 | 114 | 537 | 5 | 85 | 73 | 486 | 40 | 50% | 221 |
| 2024 | 17 | 75 | 290 | 1 | 22 | 16 | 116 | 26 | 26% | 63 |
| 2023 | 16 | 84 | 364 | 2 | 37 | 30 | 183 | 25 | 41% | 97 |
| 2022 | 17 | 53 | 240 | 4 | 29 | 23 | 169 | 19 | 28% | 88 |
| 2021 | 16 | 68 | 291 | 5 | 50 | 33 | 253 | 23 | 28% | 123 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Injury history
1 injury entry across 1 season · 1 week ruled out or doubtful · most often ribs
Model track record
out-of-sample, 2019 onwards| Market | Graded | In band | Avg miss | vs form |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing yards | 93 | 84% | 17.4 | +0.5 |
| Receptions | 93 | 82% | 1.4 | +0.1 |
| Receiving yards | 93 | 89% | 12.3 | +0.4 |
| Rush attempts | 93 | 89% | 3.1 | +0.3 |
| Rush + rec yards | 93 | 82% | 23.9 | +0.7 |
| Anytime TD | 93 | 22% vs 23% | 0.3 | -0.0 |
| First TD scorer | 93 | 4% vs 6% | 0.1 | +0.0 |
| Longest rush | 84 | 81% | 6.2 | +0.5 |
| Longest reception | 73 | 89% | 5.0 | +0.0 |
Out-of-sample: each prediction came from a model trained only on earlier seasons. In band should sit near 80% where a band exists — that is the calibration claim, checkable here. It is tinted only when it strays further than sampling noise explains, which for one player is roughly ±7 points. vs form is how much closer the model landed than guessing his recent average. This grades the model against RESULTS, not against a betting line.
Last 10 games
| Game | Opp | Snap% | Tgt | Rec | RecYd | Car | RushYd | PassYd | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 wk 3 |  MIN | 46% | 5 | 2 | 14 | 3 | -4 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026 wk 2 |  CLE | 35% | 4 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026 wk 1 |  CIN | 46% | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 19 |  HOU | 56% | 6 | 4 | 26 | 6 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 18 |  BAL | 67% | 9 | 8 | 64 | 5 | 10 | 0 | 1 |
| 2025 wk 17 | CLE | 68% | 4 | 3 | 12 | 7 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 16 |  DET | 54% | 7 | 5 | 78 | 9 | 50 | 0 | 1 |
| 2025 wk 15 |  MIA | 52% | 7 | 7 | 46 | 13 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 14 | BAL | 48% | 7 | 6 | 27 | 4 | 15 | 0 | 1 |
| 2025 wk 13 |  BUF | 42% | 3 | 2 | 25 | 5 | 20 | 0 | 0 |