Elijah Moore
WR
- Game
- 2026 wk 4
- Total
- 43.5
- Implied team total
- 20.3
- Depth
- #3
- Recent snaps
- 32%
26 yrs · 5′10″, 178 lb · Mississippi · 2021 rd 2 pk 34
Projections
| Market | Projection | Likely range | Fair odds | Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing | ||||
| Longest rush | 6.3 | 0.0 – 16.2 | – | Differs from form |
| Receiving | ||||
| Receiving yards | 12.3 | 0.0 – 25.3 | – | Solid |
| Receptions | 1.3 | 0.0 – 2.6 | – | Solid |
| Longest reception | 13.8 | 3.1 – 28.5 | – | Solid |
| Rush + rec yards | 11.5 | 0.0 – 24.1 | – | Solid |
| Touchdowns | ||||
| Anytime TD | 4.5% | no range | +2114 | Solid |
| First TD scorer | 1.2% | no range | +8534 | Solid |
Form
| Window | GP | Tgt | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD | Tgt share | WOPR | RZ tgt | Snap% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 3 | 3 | 2.0 | 1.3 | 3.3 | 0.00 | 6% | 0.13 | – | 30% | 1.6 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 2.2 | 1.2 | 10.4 | 0.00 | 8% | 0.21 | – | 32% | 2.2 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 1.8 | 1.0 | 11.6 | 0.00 | 6% | 0.16 | 0.00 | 30% | 3.0 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Career by season · totals
| Window | GP | Tgt | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD | Tgt share | WOPR | RZ tgt | Snap% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 9 | 17 | 9 | 112 | 0 | 7% | 2 | 0 | 31% | 29 |
| 2024 | 17 | 102 | 61 | 538 | 1 | 15% | 6 | 7 | 76% | 121 |
| 2023 | 16 | 104 | 59 | 640 | 2 | 18% | 7 | 14 | 75% | 132 |
| 2022 | 14 | 65 | 37 | 446 | 1 | 13% | 4 | 7 | 70% | 88 |
| 2021 | 11 | 77 | 43 | 538 | 5 | 20% | 6 | 9 | 65% | 138 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Injury history
4 injury entries across 3 seasons · 2 weeks ruled out or doubtful · most often concussion
Model track record
out-of-sample, 2019 onwards| Market | Graded | In band | Avg miss | vs form |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receptions | 69 | 84% | 1.5 | +0.2 |
| Receiving yards | 69 | 83% | 20.7 | +2.7 |
| Rush + rec yards | 69 | 86% | 22.2 | +2.3 |
| Anytime TD | 69 | 19% vs 14% | 0.3 | -0.0 |
| First TD scorer | 69 | 4% vs 1% | 0.1 | -0.0 |
| Longest reception | 65 | 77% | 9.2 | +0.8 |
| Longest rush | 22 | 73% | 6.7 | +1.6 |
Out-of-sample: each prediction came from a model trained only on earlier seasons. In band should sit near 80% where a band exists — that is the calibration claim, checkable here. It is tinted only when it strays further than sampling noise explains, which for one player is roughly ±7 points. vs form is how much closer the model landed than guessing his recent average. This grades the model against RESULTS, not against a betting line.
