Javonte Williams
RB
- Game
- 2026 wk 4
- Total
- 48.5
- Implied team total
- 22.8
- Depth
- #1
- Recent snaps
- 62%
26 yrs · 5′10″, 220 lb · North Carolina · 2021 rd 2 pk 35
Projections
| Market | Projection | Likely range | Fair odds | Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing | ||||
| Rushing yards | 70.2 | 20.0 – 108.5 | – | Solid |
| Rush attempts | 16.5 | 1.0 – 21.3 | – | Solid |
| Longest rush | 17.2 | 6.6 – 31.0 | – | Solid |
| Receiving | ||||
| Receiving yards | 17.6 | 0.0 – 42.8 | – | Solid |
| Receptions | 2.3 | 0.0 – 5.1 | – | Solid |
| Longest reception | 12.2 | 1.7 – 23.9 | – | Solid |
| Rush + rec yards | 87.8 | 31.4 – 127.7 | – | Solid |
| Touchdowns | ||||
| Anytime TD | 54.9% | no range | -122 | Solid |
| First TD scorer | 9.1% | no range | +1003 | Solid |
Form
| Window | GP | Car | Rush yd | Rush TD | Tgt | Rec | Rec yd | RZ tch | Snap% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 3 | 3 | 14.3 | 56.3 | 0.67 | 4.0 | 3.3 | 18.7 | 4.67 | 76% | 16.8 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 13.0 | 51.4 | 0.60 | 3.4 | 2.4 | 13.0 | 3.80 | 62% | 13.6 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 15.6 | 65.4 | 0.50 | 2.8 | 2.0 | 10.0 | 4.20 | 65% | 13.7 |
| 2026 season | 3 | 14.3 | 56.3 | 0.67 | 4.0 | 3.3 | 18.7 | 4.67 | 76% | 16.8 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Career by season · totals
| Window | GP | Car | Rush yd | Rush TD | Tgt | Rec | Rec yd | RZ tch | Snap% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 3 | 43 | 169 | 2 | 12 | 10 | 56 | 14 | 76% | 51 |
| 2025 | 16 | 252 | 1,201 | 11 | 51 | 35 | 137 | 66 | 69% | 243 |
| 2024 | 17 | 139 | 513 | 4 | 70 | 52 | 346 | 32 | 52% | 158 |
| 2023 | 16 | 217 | 774 | 3 | 58 | 47 | 228 | 49 | 48% | 179 |
| 2022 | 4 | 47 | 204 | 0 | 22 | 16 | 76 | 11 | 53% | 42 |
| 2021 | 17 | 203 | 903 | 4 | 53 | 43 | 316 | 39 | 51% | 205 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Injury history
3 injury entries across 3 seasons · 1 week ruled out or doubtful · most often knee
Model track record
out-of-sample, 2019 onwards| Market | Graded | In band | Avg miss | vs form |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing yards | 71 | 80% | 24.6 | -0.8 |
| Receptions | 71 | 92% | 1.5 | -0.0 |
| Receiving yards | 71 | 83% | 14.4 | +0.7 |
| Rush attempts | 71 | 89% | 3.8 | +0.3 |
| Rush + rec yards | 71 | 79% | 27.5 | +2.9 |
| Anytime TD | 71 | 38% vs 34% | 0.4 | +0.0 |
| First TD scorer | 71 | 10% vs 14% | 0.2 | +0.1 |
| Longest rush | 70 | 81% | 7.1 | +0.2 |
| Longest reception | 67 | 73% | 6.4 | +0.5 |
Out-of-sample: each prediction came from a model trained only on earlier seasons. In band should sit near 80% where a band exists — that is the calibration claim, checkable here. It is tinted only when it strays further than sampling noise explains, which for one player is roughly ±7 points. vs form is how much closer the model landed than guessing his recent average. This grades the model against RESULTS, not against a betting line.
Last 10 games
| Game | Opp | Snap% | Tgt | Rec | RecYd | Car | RushYd | PassYd | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 wk 3 |  BAL | 76% | 3 | 2 | 5 | 19 | 98 | 0 | 1 |
| 2026 wk 2 |  WAS | 80% | 4 | 3 | 20 | 12 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026 wk 1 |  NYG | 71% | 5 | 5 | 31 | 12 | 41 | 0 | 2 |
| 2025 wk 17 | WAS | 27% | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 54 | 0 | 1 |
| 2025 wk 16 |  LAC | 57% | 3 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 34 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 15 |  MIN | 29% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 91 | 0 | 1 |
| 2025 wk 14 |  DET | 79% | 4 | 2 | 0 | 17 | 67 | 0 | 1 |
| 2025 wk 13 |  KC | 78% | 3 | 3 | 21 | 17 | 59 | 0 | 1 |
| 2025 wk 12 |  PHI | 78% | 3 | 2 | 14 | 20 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 11 |  LV | 78% | 1 | 1 | 0 | 22 | 93 | 0 | 0 |