Tommy Tremble
TE- Game
- 2026 wk 4
- Total
- 51.5
- Implied team total
- 24.0
- Depth
- #1
- Recent snaps
- 66%
26 yrs · 6′4″, 250 lb · Notre Dame · 2021 rd 3 pk 83
Projections
| Market | Projection | Likely range | Fair odds | Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receiving | ||||
| Receiving yards | 23.9 | 0.0 – 47.6 | – | Solid |
| Receptions | 2.6 | 0.0 – 4.4 | – | Solid |
| Longest reception | 14.6 | 3.8 – 27.2 | – | Solid |
| Rush + rec yards | 26.9 | 0.0 – 56.3 | – | Solid |
| Touchdowns | ||||
| Anytime TD | 14.8% | no range | +574 | Solid |
| First TD scorer | 3.1% | no range | +3149 | Solid |
Form
| Window | GP | Tgt | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD | Tgt share | WOPR | RZ tgt | Snap% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 3 | 3 | 3.7 | 2.3 | 23.3 | 0.00 | 10% | 0.19 | 1.00 | 53% | 4.7 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 3.6 | 2.6 | 26.0 | 0.20 | 10% | 0.20 | 1.00 | 66% | 6.4 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 2.8 | 1.9 | 21.1 | 0.10 | 9% | 0.19 | 1.00 | 61% | 4.6 |
| 2026 season | 3 | 3.7 | 2.3 | 23.3 | 0.00 | 10% | 0.19 | 1.00 | 53% | 4.7 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Career by season · totals
| Window | GP | Tgt | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD | Tgt share | WOPR | RZ tgt | Snap% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 3 | 11 | 7 | 70 | 0 | 10% | 1 | 1 | 53% | 14 |
| 2025 | 15 | 37 | 27 | 249 | 2 | 9% | 3 | 5 | 60% | 64 |
| 2024 | 10 | 32 | 23 | 234 | 2 | 10% | 2 | 4 | 67% | 56 |
| 2023 | 15 | 32 | 23 | 194 | 3 | 7% | 2 | 4 | 53% | 60 |
| 2022 | 15 | 32 | 19 | 174 | 3 | 9% | 3 | 7 | 52% | 54 |
| 2021 | 15 | 35 | 20 | 180 | 1 | 7% | 2 | 5 | 48% | 53 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Injury history
5 injury entries across 3 seasons · 3 weeks ruled out or doubtful · most often back
Model track record
out-of-sample, 2019 onwards| Market | Graded | In band | Avg miss | vs form |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receptions | 71 | 94% | 1.0 | +0.1 |
| Receiving yards | 71 | 90% | 13.3 | +0.3 |
| Rush + rec yards | 71 | 92% | 13.6 | -0.1 |
| Anytime TD | 71 | 12% vs 17% | 0.3 | +0.0 |
| First TD scorer | 71 | 3% vs 4% | 0.1 | +0.0 |
| Longest reception | 61 | 72% | 7.6 | +0.7 |
Out-of-sample: each prediction came from a model trained only on earlier seasons. In band should sit near 80% where a band exists — that is the calibration claim, checkable here. It is tinted only when it strays further than sampling noise explains, which for one player is roughly ±7 points. vs form is how much closer the model landed than guessing his recent average. This grades the model against RESULTS, not against a betting line.
Last 10 games
| Game | Opp | Snap% | Tgt | Rec | RecYd | Car | RushYd | PassYd | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 wk 3 | 48% | 4 | 3 | 41 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 2026 wk 2 | 56% | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 2026 wk 1 | 56% | 5 | 3 | 25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 2025 wk 19 | 81% | 3 | 3 | 22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 2025 wk 18 | 90% | 4 | 3 | 38 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 2025 wk 17 | 77% | 1 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 2025 wk 16 | 43% | 1 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 2025 wk 15 | 49% | 4 | 2 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 2025 wk 13 | 56% | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 2025 wk 11 | 57% | 2 | 1 | 54 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |