NFL Analytics Dashboard2026 · Week 4
Oct 1, 7:05 PM EDT
Slate

Tommy Tremble

TE
96% to play
Game
2026 wk 4
Total
51.5
Implied team total
24.0
Depth
#1
Recent snaps
66%

26 yrs · 6′4″, 250 lb · Notre Dame · 2021 rd 3 pk 83

Projections

MarketProjectionLikely rangeFair oddsEvidence
Receiving
Receiving yards23.90.0 – 47.6–Solid
Receptions2.60.0 – 4.4–Solid
Longest reception14.63.8 – 27.2–Solid
Rush + rec yards26.90.0 – 56.3–Solid
Touchdowns
Anytime TD14.8%no range+574Solid
First TD scorer3.1%no range+3149Solid

Form

WindowGPTgtRecRec ydRec TDTgt shareWOPRRZ tgtSnap%PPR
Last 333.72.323.30.0010%0.191.0053%4.7
Last 553.62.626.00.2010%0.201.0066%6.4
Last 10102.81.921.10.109%0.191.0061%4.6
2026 season33.72.323.30.0010%0.191.0053%4.7

Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.

Career by season · totals

WindowGPTgtRecRec ydRec TDTgt shareWOPRRZ tgtSnap%PPR
2026311770010%1153%14
202515372724929%3560%64
2024103223234210%2467%56
202315322319437%2453%60
202215321917439%3752%54
202115352018017%2548%53

Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.

Injury history

5 injury entries across 3 seasons · 3 weeks ruled out or doubtful · most often back

2024Back×4Hamstring×2Concussion
2023Hip×2
2022Hip

Model track record

out-of-sample, 2019 onwards
MarketGradedIn bandAvg missvs form
Receptions7194%1.0+0.1
Receiving yards7190%13.3+0.3
Rush + rec yards7192%13.6-0.1
Anytime TD7112% vs 17%0.3+0.0
First TD scorer713% vs 4%0.1+0.0
Longest reception6172%7.6+0.7

Out-of-sample: each prediction came from a model trained only on earlier seasons. In band should sit near 80% where a band exists — that is the calibration claim, checkable here. It is tinted only when it strays further than sampling noise explains, which for one player is roughly ±7 points. vs form is how much closer the model landed than guessing his recent average. This grades the model against RESULTS, not against a betting line.

Last 10 games

GameOppSnap%TgtRecRecYdCarRushYdPassYdTD
2026 wk 3CLE48%43410000
2026 wk 2ATL56%2140000
2026 wk 1CHI56%53250000
2025 wk 19LA81%33220000
2025 wk 18TB90%43380001
2025 wk 17SEA77%1160000
2025 wk 16TB43%1160000
2025 wk 15NO49%42130000
2025 wk 13LA56%2120000
2025 wk 11ATL57%21540000