NFL Analytics Dashboard2026 · Week 4
Oct 1, 7:05 PM EDT
Slate

Tyler Goodson

RB
52% to play
Game
2026 wk 4
Total
48.5
Implied team total
22.8
Depth
#2
Recent snaps
6%

25 yrs · 5′9″, 197 lb · Iowa

Projections

MarketProjectionLikely rangeFair oddsEvidence
Rushing
Rushing yards15.90.0 – 44.2–Solid
Rush attempts3.30.0 – 10.4–Solid
Longest rush9.91.9 – 20.6–Solid
Receiving
Receiving yards3.20.0 – 9.3–Differs from form
Receptions0.70.0 – 1.5–Solid
Longest reception10.31.0 – 22.6–Differs from form
Rush + rec yards19.10.0 – 60.6–Solid
Touchdowns
Anytime TD7.5%no range+1227Solid
First TD scorer1.0%no range+10358Solid

Form

WindowGPCarRush ydRush TDTgtRecRec ydRZ tchSnap%PPR
Last 333.311.30.000.30.3-1.71.009%1.3
Last 552.06.80.000.20.2-1.01.006%0.8
Last 10101.34.00.000.40.30.31.006%0.7
2026 season16.022.00.001.01.0-5.01.0015%2.7

Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.

Career by season · totals

WindowGPCarRush ydRush TDTgtRecRec ydRZ tchSnap%PPR
20261622011-5115%3
202510924032815%5
202414321531151161814%44
20236138709634712%18

Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.

Injury history

3 injury entries across 1 season · 3 weeks ruled out or doubtful · most often groin

2025Groin×3Elbow×2Ankle

Model track record

out-of-sample, 2019 onwards
MarketGradedIn bandAvg missvs form
Anytime TD309% vs 7%0.1-0.0
Rushing yards3090%14.7-0.2
Receptions30100%0.9-0.0
Receiving yards3097%6.1-1.0
Rush attempts3090%2.9+0.0
Rush + rec yards3087%16.4+0.7
First TD scorer232% vs 0%0.0-0.0
Longest rush1385%8.3-0.5
Longest reception1164%6.4+1.0

Out-of-sample: each prediction came from a model trained only on earlier seasons. In band should sit near 80% where a band exists — that is the calibration claim, checkable here. It is tinted only when it strays further than sampling noise explains, which for one player is roughly ±7 points. vs form is how much closer the model landed than guessing his recent average. This grades the model against RESULTS, not against a betting line.

Last 10 games

GameOppSnap%TgtRecRecYdCarRushYdPassYdTD
2026 wk 3BAL15%11-562200
2025 wk 18HOU5%0001300
2025 wk 16SF8%0003900
2025 wk 15SEA0%0000000
2025 wk 13HOU0%0000000
2025 wk 12KC2%0000000
2025 wk 10ATL3%0001400
2025 wk 9PIT14%2180000
2025 wk 8TEN8%0002200
2025 wk 4LA7%1100000