NFL Analytics Dashboard2026 · Week 4
Oct 1, 7:05 PM EDT
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Bam Knight

RB
37% to play
Game
2026 wk 4
Total
44.5
Implied team total
23.5
Depth
#3
Recent snaps
29%

25 yrs · 5′11″, 209 lb · N.C. State

Projections

MarketProjectionLikely rangeFair oddsEvidence
Rushing
Rushing yards17.80.0 – 47.0–Solid
Rush attempts3.80.0 – 10.2–Solid
Longest rush10.92.6 – 20.8–Solid
Receiving
Receiving yards6.70.0 – 17.9–Solid
Receptions1.40.0 – 3.0–Solid
Longest reception10.82.2 – 22.7–Solid
Rush + rec yards24.50.0 – 60.0–Solid
Touchdowns
Anytime TD8.0%no range+1153Differs from form
First TD scorer1.8%no range+5602Solid

Form

WindowGPCarRush ydRush TDTgtRecRec ydRZ tchSnap%PPR
Last 333.312.70.002.01.06.01.0018%2.9
Last 556.222.40.202.82.014.81.3329%7.7
Last 10108.028.20.303.02.114.72.6339%8.6
2026 season12.024.00.000.00.00.0–6%2.4

Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.

Career by season · totals

WindowGPCarRush ydRush TDTgtRecRec ydRZ tchSnap%PPR
202612240000–6%2
20251282269431221602333%93
202323130118–7%3
2022785300114131001241%59

Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.

Injury history

4 injury entries across 3 seasons · 1 week ruled out or doubtful · most often ankle

2025AnkleKnee
2023Shoulder
2022Ankle

Model track record

out-of-sample, 2019 onwards
MarketGradedIn bandAvg missvs form
Anytime TD2120% vs 29%0.4+0.0
Rushing yards2167%25.3-3.1
Receptions2195%1.1+0.2
Receiving yards2186%9.1+0.7
Rush attempts2176%4.4+0.0
Rush + rec yards2171%33.6-4.0
First TD scorer196% vs 0%0.1-0.1
Longest rush1878%7.2+1.6
Longest reception15100%3.4+1.2

Out-of-sample: each prediction came from a model trained only on earlier seasons. In band should sit near 80% where a band exists — that is the calibration claim, checkable here. It is tinted only when it strays further than sampling noise explains, which for one player is roughly ±7 points. vs form is how much closer the model landed than guessing his recent average. This grades the model against RESULTS, not against a betting line.

Last 10 games

GameOppSnap%TgtRecRecYdCarRushYdPassYdTD
2026 wk 2SEA6%00022400
2025 wk 15HOU2%0001-200
2025 wk 14LA47%631871600
2025 wk 13TB48%3336116201
2025 wk 12JAX44%5420101201
2025 wk 11SF41%442152401
2025 wk 10SEA46%415102800
2025 wk 9DAL57%222092700
2025 wk 7GB45%437145700
2025 wk 6IND51%2120113401