George Pickens
WR
- Game
- 2026 wk 4
- Total
- 48.5
- Implied team total
- 22.8
- Depth
- #2
- Recent snaps
- 75%
25 yrs · 6′3″, 205 lb · Georgia · 2022 rd 2 pk 52
Projections
| Market | Projection | Likely range | Fair odds | Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing | ||||
| Longest rush | 7.1 | 0.0 – 15.7 | – | Little to go on |
| Receiving | ||||
| Receiving yards | 60.0 | 14.4 – 100.5 | – | Solid |
| Receptions | 4.4 | 1.0 – 7.3 | – | Solid |
| Longest reception | 23.7 | 8.7 – 38.5 | – | Solid |
| Rush + rec yards | 54.2 | 10.0 – 102.3 | – | Solid |
| Touchdowns | ||||
| Anytime TD | 23.7% | no range | +321 | Solid |
| First TD scorer | 6.0% | no range | +1572 | Solid |
Form
| Window | GP | Tgt | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD | Tgt share | WOPR | RZ tgt | Snap% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 3 | 3 | 8.3 | 5.3 | 50.0 | 0.00 | 24% | 0.59 | 1.50 | 82% | 10.3 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 6.6 | 4.2 | 47.4 | 0.00 | 20% | 0.46 | 1.67 | 75% | 8.9 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 7.9 | 5.1 | 67.1 | 0.20 | 23% | 0.53 | 2.00 | 79% | 13.2 |
| 2026 season | 3 | 8.3 | 5.3 | 50.0 | 0.00 | 24% | 0.59 | 1.50 | 82% | 10.3 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Career by season · totals
| Window | GP | Tgt | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD | Tgt share | WOPR | RZ tgt | Snap% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 3 | 25 | 16 | 150 | 0 | 24% | 2 | 3 | 82% | 31 |
| 2025 | 17 | 137 | 93 | 1,429 | 9 | 23% | 10 | 24 | 81% | 292 |
| 2024 | 14 | 103 | 59 | 900 | 3 | 27% | 10 | 16 | 80% | 164 |
| 2023 | 17 | 106 | 63 | 1,140 | 5 | 22% | 10 | 8 | 87% | 209 |
| 2022 | 17 | 84 | 52 | 801 | 4 | 16% | 7 | 8 | 76% | 167 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Injury history
1 injury entry across 1 season · 2 weeks ruled out or doubtful · most often hamstring
Model track record
out-of-sample, 2019 onwards| Market | Graded | In band | Avg miss | vs form |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receptions | 67 | 85% | 1.7 | +0.1 |
| Receiving yards | 67 | 70% | 33.5 | +3.7 |
| Rush + rec yards | 67 | 72% | 35.1 | +2.0 |
| Anytime TD | 67 | 26% vs 31% | 0.4 | -0.0 |
| First TD scorer | 67 | 6% vs 4% | 0.1 | -0.0 |
| Longest reception | 65 | 85% | 12.2 | +0.7 |
| Longest rush | 8 | 63% | 8.8 | +8.4 |
Out-of-sample: each prediction came from a model trained only on earlier seasons. In band should sit near 80% where a band exists — that is the calibration claim, checkable here. It is tinted only when it strays further than sampling noise explains, which for one player is roughly ±7 points. vs form is how much closer the model landed than guessing his recent average. This grades the model against RESULTS, not against a betting line.
Last 10 games
| Game | Opp | Snap% | Tgt | Rec | RecYd | Car | RushYd | PassYd | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 wk 3 |  BAL | 85% | 11 | 7 | 82 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026 wk 2 |  WAS | 76% | 8 | 6 | 40 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026 wk 1 |  NYG | 84% | 6 | 3 | 28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 18 | NYG | 45% | 3 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 17 | WAS | 87% | 5 | 4 | 78 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 16 |  LAC | 88% | 9 | 7 | 130 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2025 wk 15 |  MIN | 86% | 6 | 3 | 33 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 14 |  DET | 84% | 9 | 5 | 37 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 13 |  KC | 74% | 13 | 6 | 88 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 12 |  PHI | 78% | 9 | 9 | 146 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |