Dameon Pierce
RB
- Game
- 2026 wk 4
- Total
- 43.5
- Implied team total
- 20.3
- Depth
- #4
- Recent snaps
- 8%
26 yrs · 5′10″, 215 lb · Florida · 2022 rd 4 pk 107
Projections
| Market | Projection | Likely range | Fair odds | Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing | ||||
| Rushing yards | 9.2 | 0.0 – 42.4 | – | Solid |
| Rush attempts | 1.8 | 0.0 – 6.9 | – | Solid |
| Longest rush | 8.6 | 1.5 – 17.7 | – | Solid |
| Receiving | ||||
| Receiving yards | 2.6 | 0.0 – 3.9 | – | Solid |
| Receptions | 0.6 | 0.0 – 0.9 | – | Solid |
| Longest reception | 9.1 | 1.5 – 20.0 | – | Little to go on |
| Rush + rec yards | 11.8 | 0.0 – 23.9 | – | Solid |
| Touchdowns | ||||
| Anytime TD | 5.9% | no range | +1590 | Solid |
| First TD scorer | 0.9% | no range | +10784 | Solid |
Form
| Window | GP | Car | Rush yd | Rush TD | Tgt | Rec | Rec yd | RZ tch | Snap% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 3 | 3 | 1.3 | 3.3 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | – | 3% | 0.3 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 2.8 | 7.2 | 0.00 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.00 | 8% | 0.7 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 4.5 | 25.4 | 0.10 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.00 | 17% | 3.1 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Career by season · totals
| Window | GP | Car | Rush yd | Rush TD | Tgt | Rec | Rec yd | RZ tch | Snap% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 5 | 14 | 36 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8% | 4 |
| 2024 | 10 | 40 | 293 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 17% | 44 |
| 2023 | 14 | 145 | 416 | 2 | 17 | 13 | 101 | 24 | 32% | 83 |
| 2022 | 13 | 220 | 939 | 4 | 39 | 30 | 165 | 35 | 64% | 166 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Injury history
4 injury entries across 3 seasons · 8 weeks ruled out or doubtful · most often ankle
Model track record
out-of-sample, 2019 onwards| Market | Graded | In band | Avg miss | vs form |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing yards | 46 | 78% | 27.6 | -0.1 |
| Receptions | 46 | 96% | 0.8 | -0.1 |
| Receiving yards | 46 | 98% | 6.3 | -1.0 |
| Rush attempts | 46 | 85% | 4.5 | +0.0 |
| Rush + rec yards | 46 | 76% | 30.4 | -0.7 |
| Anytime TD | 46 | 23% vs 20% | 0.3 | +0.0 |
| First TD scorer | 41 | 6% vs 7% | 0.1 | +0.0 |
| Longest rush | 40 | 60% | 11.4 | +2.2 |
| Longest reception | 22 | 82% | 4.8 | -0.3 |
Out-of-sample: each prediction came from a model trained only on earlier seasons. In band should sit near 80% where a band exists — that is the calibration claim, checkable here. It is tinted only when it strays further than sampling noise explains, which for one player is roughly ±7 points. vs form is how much closer the model landed than guessing his recent average. This grades the model against RESULTS, not against a betting line.
Last 10 games
| Game | Opp | Snap% | Tgt | Rec | RecYd | Car | RushYd | PassYd | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 wk 18 |  LV | 8% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 10 |  JAX | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 8 |  SF | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 5 |  BAL | 23% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 1 |  LA | 11% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 |
| 2024 wk 20 |  KC | 21% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 0 | 0 |
| 2024 wk 19 |  LAC | 8% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 0 | 0 |
| 2024 wk 18 |  TEN | 62% | 2 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 176 | 0 | 1 |
| 2024 wk 17 | BAL | 25% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 0 | 0 |
| 2024 wk 16 | KC | 7% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 |