Tyler Allgeier
RB
- Game
- 2026 wk 4
- Total
- 44.5
- Implied team total
- 23.5
- Depth
- #2
- Recent snaps
- 46%
26 yrs · 5′10″, 225 lb · BYU · 2022 rd 5 pk 151
Projections
| Market | Projection | Likely range | Fair odds | Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing | ||||
| Rushing yards | 32.6 | 2.9 – 72.6 | – | Solid |
| Rush attempts | 7.2 | 1.0 – 14.1 | – | Solid |
| Longest rush | 10.5 | 2.9 – 23.9 | – | Solid |
| Receiving | ||||
| Receiving yards | 7.6 | 0.0 – 27.3 | – | Solid |
| Receptions | 1.6 | 0.0 – 4.1 | – | Solid |
| Longest reception | 10.1 | 1.1 – 22.3 | – | Solid |
| Rush + rec yards | 40.2 | 4.8 – 85.5 | – | Solid |
| Touchdowns | ||||
| Anytime TD | 19.7% | no range | +408 | Solid |
| First TD scorer | 4.4% | no range | +2155 | Solid |
Form
| Window | GP | Car | Rush yd | Rush TD | Tgt | Rec | Rec yd | RZ tch | Snap% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 3 | 3 | 8.0 | 23.3 | 0.00 | 2.7 | 2.7 | 9.3 | 3.00 | 53% | 5.9 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 8.2 | 21.8 | 0.00 | 2.0 | 1.8 | 6.2 | 2.33 | 46% | 4.6 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 9.0 | 30.4 | 0.10 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 9.8 | 2.67 | 39% | 6.1 |
| 2026 season | 3 | 8.0 | 23.3 | 0.00 | 2.7 | 2.7 | 9.3 | 3.00 | 53% | 5.9 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Career by season · totals
| Window | GP | Car | Rush yd | Rush TD | Tgt | Rec | Rec yd | RZ tch | Snap% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 3 | 24 | 70 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 28 | 6 | 53% | 18 |
| 2025 | 17 | 143 | 514 | 8 | 16 | 14 | 96 | 33 | 30% | 123 |
| 2024 | 17 | 137 | 644 | 3 | 13 | 13 | 88 | 27 | 25% | 106 |
| 2023 | 17 | 186 | 683 | 4 | 23 | 18 | 193 | 40 | 32% | 138 |
| 2022 | 16 | 210 | 1,035 | 3 | 17 | 16 | 139 | 40 | 51% | 159 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Injury history
1 injury entry across 1 season · most often hip
Model track record
out-of-sample, 2019 onwards| Market | Graded | In band | Avg miss | vs form |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing yards | 67 | 82% | 22.1 | +0.8 |
| Receptions | 67 | 97% | 0.9 | +0.0 |
| Receiving yards | 67 | 82% | 10.6 | +0.8 |
| Rush attempts | 67 | 85% | 4.1 | +0.2 |
| Rush + rec yards | 67 | 84% | 26.0 | +2.4 |
| Anytime TD | 67 | 24% vs 27% | 0.4 | +0.0 |
| First TD scorer | 67 | 6% vs 6% | 0.1 | +0.0 |
| Longest rush | 66 | 88% | 6.9 | +0.1 |
| Longest reception | 38 | 71% | 9.2 | +3.1 |
Out-of-sample: each prediction came from a model trained only on earlier seasons. In band should sit near 80% where a band exists — that is the calibration claim, checkable here. It is tinted only when it strays further than sampling noise explains, which for one player is roughly ±7 points. vs form is how much closer the model landed than guessing his recent average. This grades the model against RESULTS, not against a betting line.
Last 10 games
| Game | Opp | Snap% | Tgt | Rec | RecYd | Car | RushYd | PassYd | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 wk 3 |  SF | 36% | 4 | 4 | 10 | 2 | -1 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026 wk 2 |  SEA | 64% | 2 | 2 | 9 | 5 | 10 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026 wk 1 |  LAC | 59% | 2 | 2 | 9 | 17 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 18 |  NO | 37% | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 17 |  LA | 36% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 23 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 16 |  ARI | 40% | 1 | 1 | -6 | 16 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 15 |  TB | 17% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 14 | SEA | 39% | 2 | 2 | 33 | 11 | 34 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 13 |  NYJ | 25% | 2 | 2 | 35 | 8 | 20 | 0 | 1 |
| 2025 wk 12 | NO | 39% | 1 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 44 | 0 | 0 |