Treylon Burks
WR
- Game
- 2026 wk 4
- Total
- 47.5
- Implied team total
- 22.0
- Depth
- #3
- Recent snaps
- 62%
26 yrs · 6′2″, 225 lb · Arkansas · 2022 rd 1 pk 18
Projections
| Market | Projection | Likely range | Fair odds | Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing | ||||
| Longest rush | 6.2 | 0.0 – 15.0 | – | Little to go on |
| Receiving | ||||
| Receiving yards | 18.5 | 0.0 – 54.1 | – | Solid |
| Receptions | 1.7 | 0.0 – 3.1 | – | Solid |
| Longest reception | 18.0 | 4.7 – 35.3 | – | Solid |
| Rush + rec yards | 18.7 | 0.0 – 45.6 | – | Solid |
| Touchdowns | ||||
| Anytime TD | 9.0% | no range | +1016 | Solid |
| First TD scorer | 1.8% | no range | +5377 | Solid |
Form
| Window | GP | Tgt | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD | Tgt share | WOPR | RZ tgt | Snap% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 3 | 3 | 2.3 | 1.3 | 8.3 | 0.33 | 10% | 0.28 | 1.00 | 45% | 4.2 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 2.8 | 1.4 | 13.2 | 0.20 | 13% | 0.33 | 1.00 | 62% | 3.9 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 2.5 | 1.2 | 14.3 | 0.20 | 11% | 0.28 | 1.00 | 55% | 3.8 |
| 2026 season | 2 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 6.5 | 0.50 | 5% | 0.14 | 1.00 | 33% | 4.7 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Career by season · totals
| Window | GP | Tgt | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD | Tgt share | WOPR | RZ tgt | Snap% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 1 | 5% | 0 | 1 | 33% | 9 |
| 2025 | 8 | 22 | 10 | 130 | 1 | 13% | 2 | 4 | 60% | 29 |
| 2024 | 5 | 8 | 4 | 34 | 0 | 6% | 1 | – | 47% | 8 |
| 2023 | 9 | 30 | 16 | 221 | 0 | 12% | 3 | 1 | 70% | 40 |
| 2022 | 11 | 54 | 33 | 444 | 1 | 17% | 5 | 4 | 58% | 88 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Injury history
7 injury entries across 4 seasons · 11 weeks ruled out or doubtful · most often concussion
Model track record
out-of-sample, 2019 onwards| Market | Graded | In band | Avg miss | vs form |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receptions | 33 | 88% | 1.2 | -0.1 |
| Receiving yards | 33 | 94% | 23.7 | -1.0 |
| Rush + rec yards | 33 | 82% | 22.4 | +0.4 |
| Anytime TD | 33 | 15% vs 6% | 0.2 | -0.1 |
| First TD scorer | 33 | 3% vs 3% | 0.1 | +0.0 |
| Longest reception | 28 | 75% | 13.8 | +0.1 |
| Longest rush | 10 | 90% | 4.9 | +0.5 |
Out-of-sample: each prediction came from a model trained only on earlier seasons. In band should sit near 80% where a band exists — that is the calibration claim, checkable here. It is tinted only when it strays further than sampling noise explains, which for one player is roughly ±7 points. vs form is how much closer the model landed than guessing his recent average. This grades the model against RESULTS, not against a betting line.
Last 10 games
| Game | Opp | Snap% | Tgt | Rec | RecYd | Car | RushYd | PassYd | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 wk 3 |  SEA | 36% | 2 | 2 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2026 wk 2 |  DAL | 30% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 18 |  PHI | 68% | 4 | 2 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 17 | DAL | 91% | 2 | 1 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 16 | PHI | 83% | 5 | 2 | 30 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 15 |  NYG | 46% | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 14 |  MIN | 37% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 13 |  DEN | 66% | 4 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2025 wk 10 |  DET | 39% | 3 | 3 | 58 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 9 | SEA | 51% | 1 | 1 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |