KaVontae Turpin
WR
- Game
- 2026 wk 4
- Total
- 48.5
- Implied team total
- 22.8
- Depth
- #1
- Recent snaps
- 14%
30 yrs · 5′7″, 158 lb · TCU
Projections
| Market | Projection | Likely range | Fair odds | Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing | ||||
| Longest rush | 8.5 | 0.1 – 16.4 | – | Solid |
| Receiving | ||||
| Receiving yards | 10.0 | 0.0 – 22.7 | – | Solid |
| Receptions | 1.3 | 0.0 – 2.4 | – | Solid |
| Longest reception | 16.5 | 3.1 – 33.3 | – | Differs from form |
| Rush + rec yards | 15.2 | 0.0 – 41.6 | – | Solid |
| Touchdowns | ||||
| Anytime TD | 7.3% | no range | +1271 | Differs from form |
| First TD scorer | 1.0% | no range | +9778 | Solid |
Form
| Window | GP | Tgt | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD | Tgt share | WOPR | RZ tgt | Snap% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 3 | 3 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 5.7 | 0.00 | 3% | 0.06 | 0.50 | 13% | 3.6 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 20.6 | 0.20 | 3% | 0.10 | 0.50 | 14% | 5.4 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 1.7 | 1.2 | 22.9 | 0.10 | 5% | 0.12 | 0.75 | 26% | 5.2 |
| 2026 season | 3 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 5.7 | 0.00 | 3% | 0.06 | 0.50 | 13% | 3.6 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Career by season · totals
| Window | GP | Tgt | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD | Tgt share | WOPR | RZ tgt | Snap% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 0 | 3% | 0 | 1 | 13% | 11 |
| 2025 | 15 | 38 | 26 | 396 | 2 | 7% | 2 | 5 | 35% | 85 |
| 2024 | 17 | 52 | 31 | 420 | 2 | 8% | 3 | 7 | 27% | 104 |
| 2023 | 16 | 18 | 12 | 127 | 3 | 3% | 1 | 6 | 12% | 60 |
| 2022 | 17 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 6% | 4 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Injury history
3 injury entries across 3 seasons · 2 weeks ruled out or doubtful · most often foot
Model track record
out-of-sample, 2019 onwards| Market | Graded | In band | Avg miss | vs form |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receptions | 68 | 94% | 0.8 | -0.1 |
| Receiving yards | 68 | 85% | 12.3 | +1.0 |
| Rush + rec yards | 68 | 87% | 14.0 | +0.7 |
| Anytime TD | 68 | 9% vs 12% | 0.2 | +0.0 |
| First TD scorer | 58 | 2% vs 0% | 0.0 | -0.0 |
| Longest reception | 39 | 82% | 11.5 | +1.3 |
| Longest rush | 33 | 88% | 6.2 | +2.4 |
Out-of-sample: each prediction came from a model trained only on earlier seasons. In band should sit near 80% where a band exists — that is the calibration claim, checkable here. It is tinted only when it strays further than sampling noise explains, which for one player is roughly ±7 points. vs form is how much closer the model landed than guessing his recent average. This grades the model against RESULTS, not against a betting line.
Last 10 games
| Game | Opp | Snap% | Tgt | Rec | RecYd | Car | RushYd | PassYd | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 wk 3 |  BAL | 16% | 2 | 1 | 9 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 1 |
| 2026 wk 2 |  WAS | 9% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026 wk 1 |  NYG | 14% | 1 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 18 | NYG | 16% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 17 | WAS | 17% | 1 | 1 | 86 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2025 wk 16 |  LAC | 31% | 4 | 2 | 14 | 2 | 13 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 15 |  MIN | 20% | 2 | 2 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 14 |  DET | 52% | 2 | 2 | 26 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 13 |  KC | 36% | 2 | 2 | 28 | 3 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 12 |  PHI | 47% | 2 | 1 | 48 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 |